{"id":5897,"date":"2021-04-07T20:17:37","date_gmt":"2021-04-07T17:17:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/con-sot-bat-dong-san-tren-toan-cau-mot-qua-bong-bong-hay-chi-la-dieu-binh-thuong-moi\/"},"modified":"2021-04-07T20:17:45","modified_gmt":"2021-04-07T17:17:45","slug":"con-sot-bat-dong-san-tren-toan-cau-mot-qua-bong-bong-hay-chi-la-dieu-binh-thuong-moi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/con-sot-bat-dong-san-tren-toan-cau-mot-qua-bong-bong-hay-chi-la-dieu-binh-thuong-moi\/","title":{"rendered":"C\u01a1n s\u1ed1t b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u: M\u1ed9t qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng hay ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 &#8216;\u0111i\u1ec1u b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi&#8217;?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&#13;<br \/>\n                                    Th\u1eadt kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 New Zealand r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n sau m\u1ed9t qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng g\u00e2y r\u1ee7i ro cho to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. M\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n t\u1ea1i New Zealand \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng 23% trong n\u0103m qua, khi\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c s\u1edf h\u1eefu m\u1ed9t ng\u00f4i nh\u00e0 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u xa v\u1eddi, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u00f3m ng\u01b0\u1eddi tr\u1ebb l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u mua nh\u00e0.V\u1eady, n\u1ebfu c\u01a1n s\u1ed1t n\u00e0y c\u00f3 &#8220;h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111i&#8221; nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng th\u00ec n\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng hay kh\u00f4ng?V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 duy nh\u1ea5t l\u00e0 qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y kh\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y. Gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 t\u0103ng kh\u00f4ng ng\u1eebng ngh\u1ec9 \u1edf nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Anh. T\u1ea1i Australia, gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 t\u0103ng 2,8% trong th\u00e1ng 3 \u2013 m\u1ee9c t\u0103ng h\u00e0ng th\u00e1ng nhanh nh\u1ea5t trong 33 n\u0103m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y.Tuy nhi\u00ean, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n nh\u01b0 New Zealand. Th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Jacinda Ardenrn m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u0111\u00e3 y\u00eau c\u1ea7u NHTW ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0a vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n th\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0m \u0111i\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i khi \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p l\u1ecbch s\u1eed. C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ea1o ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec1 cho nh\u1eefng NHTW kh\u00e1c v\u00e0 cho bi\u1ebft l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 th\u1ea5p s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c duy tr\u00ec trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i d\u00e0nh cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi mua nh\u00e0 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u v\u00e0 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng, chi ph\u00ed \u0111i vay th\u1ea5p gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf suy tho\u00e1i do Covid-19.Do \u0111\u00f3, khi bong b\u00f3ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh m\u00e0 theo nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0, th\u00ec th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1i &#8220;ti\u1ec1n r\u1ebb&#8221; \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1edf ra b\u1edfi cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 duy tr\u00ec b\u1edfi Covid-19 \u0111\u00e3 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u00e1c nguy\u00ean t\u1eafc c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n.\u00a0Damien Klassen \u2013 tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a Nucleus Wealth \u1edf Melbourne, cho r\u1eb1ng &#8220;s\u1ef1 m\u00e9o m\u00f3&#8221; c\u1ee7a th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n c\u00f2n di\u1ec5n ra l\u00e2u h\u01a1n n\u1eefa, b\u1edfi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u01b0\u01a1ng T\u00e2y v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.\u00d4ng l\u1ea5y v\u00ed d\u1ee5 v\u1ec1 eurozone, n\u01a1i l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 -1%. T\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ee9c, b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 vay th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh l\u00e0 0,3%. \u1ede Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n \u2013 n\u01a1i bong b\u00f3ng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n v\u00e0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n v\u1ee1 tung c\u00e1ch \u0111\u00e2y 30 n\u0103m, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u00edch l\u1edbn v\u00e0 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ef1c th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ec3 \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t vay th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p c\u0169ng th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 1%.Theo Klassen, nh\u1eefng g\u00ec tr\u00f4ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u b\u00ecnh th\u01b0\u1eddng m\u1edbi. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i: &#8220;Gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 n\u00f3i l\u00ean m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi tr\u1ea3. L\u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00f4ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean, v\u00ec v\u1eady kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng chi tr\u1ea3 ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f2n gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p n\u1eefa, gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u.&#8221;Cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m ngo\u00e1i, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 UBSS \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1o Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 Bong b\u00f3ng B\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n To\u00e0n c\u1ea7u (Global Real Estate Bubble Index), trong \u0111\u00f3 x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng c\u00e1c th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 x\u1ea3y ra bong b\u00f3ng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n cao nh\u1ea5t.Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng n\u00e0y cho bi\u1ebft Munich v\u00e0 Frankfurt l\u00e0 2 th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u, trong khi Paris, Amsterdam v\u00e0 Zurich c\u00f9ng th\u1ee9 h\u1ea1ng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng &#8220;c\u00e1i t\u00ean&#8221; l\u00e2u n\u0103m nh\u01b0 Hong Kong v\u00e0 London trong top 10. New York \u0111\u1ee9ng th\u1ee9 18 v\u00e0 Sydney \u0111\u1ee9ng th\u1ee9 16. New Zealand kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o, d\u00f9 Auckland th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e0nh ph\u1ed1 c\u00f3 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1eaft \u0111\u1ecf nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y, s\u1ef1 b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 c\u1ee7a b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n nh\u00e0 \u1edf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra \u1edf c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia nh\u01b0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Australia. T\u1ea1i x\u1ee9 s\u1edf chu\u1ed9t t\u00fai, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 0,1% do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i vay v\u1edbi chi ph\u00ed r\u1ebb h\u01a1n nh\u1edd ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh c\u01a1 s\u1edf c\u1ea5p v\u1ed1n c\u00f3 k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n (TFF) c\u1ee7a NHTW v\u00e0 cho kh\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng vay s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u00f3 v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 2%. D\u00f9 h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, nh\u01b0ng nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y cho th\u1ea5y cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn chi ph\u00ed \u0111i vay ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng r\u1ebb h\u01a1n.Ben Udy \u2013 nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf v\u1ec1 Australia v\u00e0 New Zealand t\u1ea1i Capital Economics, d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c t\u0103ng khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u1eabn \u1edf m\u1ee9c r\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i: &#8220;Ch\u00fang t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng cho r\u1eb1ng gi\u00e1 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea1t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ee7 cao \u0111\u1ec3 l\u00e0m v\u1ee1 qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng. Gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 trong d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n ph\u1ee5 thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o cung so v\u1edbi c\u1ea7u. Trong ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e0u h\u01a1n nh\u1edd \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch v\u00e0 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 t\u0103ng l\u00ean.&#8221;Tuy nhi\u00ean, Capital k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 s\u1ebd h\u1ea1 nhi\u1ec7t khi nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ed1n b\u1ecb &#8220;d\u1ed3n n\u00e9n&#8221; trong th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0111\u1ea1i d\u1ecbch gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt v\u00e0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3, \u01b0u \u0111\u00e3i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n. NHTW New Zealand hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thong b\u00e1o t\u1eeb ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t gi\u00e1 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi quy \u0111\u1ecbnh v\u1ec1 thu\u1ebf nghi\u00eam ng\u1eb7t h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1.Tuy nhi\u00ean, &#8220;b\u1ee9c tranh to\u00e0n c\u1ea3nh&#8221; \u1edf \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u \u0111ang trong cu\u1ed9c \u0111ua xu\u1ed1ng \u0111\u00e1y (race to the bottom): n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c l\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1edf t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng tr\u00ec tr\u1ec7 trong v\u00e0i th\u1ea5p k\u1ef7, l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u1eabn th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 gi\u00e1 nh\u00e0 s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang.Klassen cho hay: &#8220;Australia \u0111ang m\u1eafc k\u1eb9t trong b\u1eaby n\u1ee3 nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c, khi n\u1ee3 qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u, c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 t\u0103ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. \u0110\u1ec3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, c\u00e1c NHTW ph\u1ea3i h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, v\u00ec khi ng\u01b0\u1eddi d\u00e2n, doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111i vay nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n th\u00ec chu k\u1ef3 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c.&#8221;Tham kh\u1ea3o The Guardian<br \/>\n<br \/>\n<!--noindex--><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/cafef.vn\/con-sot-bat-dong-san-tren-toan-cau-mot-qua-bong-bong-hay-chi-la-dieu-binh-thuong-moi-20210407182743939.chn\" rel=\"nofollow\">Source link <\/a><br \/>\n<!--\/noindex--><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&#13; Th\u1eadt kh\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng t\u00ecnh v\u1edbi \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 New Zealand r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n t\u1eeb \u0111\u1ee3t b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 \u0111\u01a1n thu\u1ea7n sau m\u1ed9t qu\u1ea3 bong b\u00f3ng g\u00e2y r\u1ee7i ro cho to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. 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