{"id":5487,"date":"2019-09-17T06:45:52","date_gmt":"2019-09-17T03:45:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/ngay-ca-nguyen-nhan-cung-mo-ho-trung-quoc-sap-bi-don-vao-the-bi\/"},"modified":"2019-09-17T06:45:54","modified_gmt":"2019-09-17T03:45:54","slug":"ngay-ca-nguyen-nhan-cung-mo-ho-trung-quoc-sap-bi-don-vao-the-bi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/ngay-ca-nguyen-nhan-cung-mo-ho-trung-quoc-sap-bi-don-vao-the-bi\/","title":{"rendered":"Ngay c\u1ea3 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u0169ng m\u01a1 h\u1ed3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1eafp b\u1ecb d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o th\u1ebf b\u00ed?"},"content":{"rendered":"


\n Tranh c\u00e3i quanh t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n khi\u1ebfn kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c li\u00ean t\u1ee5cSau khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u trong th\u00e1ng 8 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u00e2m (t\u00ednh theo \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng USD), c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tranh lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfm bao nhi\u00eau t\u1ec9 l\u1ec7 trong nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n, v\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau l\u00e0 do nh\u1eefng t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i c\u1ed1 h\u1eefu trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c.T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p – th\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111o quan tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 quy m\u00f4 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t – gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 4.4% trong th\u00e1ng 8, m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t 17 n\u0103m qua. T\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u00e1n l\u1ebb \u1edf m\u1ee9c 7.5%, \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng h\u1ea1 xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c 5.5% trong 8 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m (so v\u1edbi 5.7% theo s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u 7 th\u00e1ng \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m), b\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u1eb1m th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng.Trong khi chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ed5 l\u1ed7i ph\u1ed5 bi\u1ebfn l\u00e0 nh\u00e2n t\u1ed1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c l\u00e0m n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 quan s\u00e1t ch\u1ec9 ra nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00e1ng 7\/2018 – khi M\u1ef9 \u00e1p lo\u1ea1t thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean v\u00e0o h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c. C\u00e1c th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c n\u00e0y bao g\u1ed3m m\u1ed9t chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng hai n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m n\u1ee3 v\u00e0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay r\u1ee7i ro. Nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ea5p cao c\u1ee7a Commerzbank Zhou Hao cho r\u1eb1ng d\u00f9 nh\u1eefng s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a C\u1ee5c th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc Trung Qu\u1ed1c x\u1ea5u h\u01a1n k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u00f4ng b\u1ea5t ng\u1edd v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u1edf B\u1eafc Kinh – nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c v\u00e0o chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ea5t n\u01b0\u1edbc.”C\u00e1c ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng t\u1ed1t ngay c\u1ea3 khi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u01b0\u01a1ng chi\u1ebfn. Vi\u1ec7c [t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng] gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u00ean k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u1eeb tr\u01b0\u1edbc,” \u00f4ng Hao n\u00f3i. “Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111ang t\u1eadn d\u1ee5ng c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00fac ti\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch b\u1ecb tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n t\u1eeb l\u00e2u, nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c t\u1ef1 do h\u00f3a l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t.”Quan \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00e1c cho r\u1eb1ng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1eadt l\u00fd c\u1ee7a thu\u1ebf quan M\u1ef9 l\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00e0 th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t v\u00e0 c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng x\u1ea5u s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t sau khi hai n\u01b0\u1edbc leo thang c\u00e1c \u0111\u00f2n “\u0103n mi\u1ebfng tr\u1ea3 mi\u1ebfng” trong th\u00e1ng qua.Nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ee7a Oxford Economics d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n lo\u1ea1t thu\u1ebf quan do M\u1ef9 \u00e1p l\u00ean h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1\/9 v\u1eeba qua s\u1ebd l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng n\u0103m 2019 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf s\u1ed1 hai th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi kho\u1ea3ng 0.2% v\u00e0 th\u00eam 0.3% v\u00e0o n\u0103m sau. Theo \u0111\u00f3, th\u01b0\u01a1ng chi\u1ebfn s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1nh t\u1ee5t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u0103m 2020 xu\u1ed1ng kho\u1ea3ng 5.7%, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1ed1c 6% m\u00e0 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec1 ra cho n\u0103m n\u00e0y.Gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p n\u00e0o cho B\u1eafc Kinh?Louis Kuijs, tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 ph\u1eadn kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 c\u1ee7a Oxford Economics, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai g\u1ea7n v\u1eabn c\u00f2n nhi\u1ec1u th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c gi\u1eefa m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i kh\u1eafc nghi\u1ec7t h\u01a1n v\u00e0 nhu c\u1ea7u trong n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f2n y\u1ebfu.”C\u1ed1t l\u00f5i c\u1ee7a r\u1ee7i ro ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 ch\u1ee9c tr\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh \u0111\u1ea7y \u0111\u1ee7 vi\u1ec7c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch,” \u00f4ng Kuijs c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o.Gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p k\u00edch c\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e2u c\u00f2n t\u00f9y thu\u1ed9c v\u00e0o m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 ng\u01b0ng tr\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. Nh\u1eefng l\u1eddi k\u00eau g\u1ecdi \u0111\u00e3 v\u1eadn \u0111\u1ed9ng ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch, bao g\u1ed3m c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n chi ng\u00e2n s\u00e1ch v\u00e0 c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n, sau khi B\u1eafc Kinh h\u1ee9a h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.N\u1ebfu xu h\u01b0\u1edbng t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng c\u1ea3i thi\u1ec7n, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a nh\u00e0 b\u0103ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n Nomura d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh s\u1ebd b\u1ecb bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng quy\u1ebft \u0111o\u00e1n h\u01a1n.”Trong k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n x\u1ea5u c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang t\u00f4i, B\u1eafc Kinh s\u1ebd \u0111\u1ea9y m\u1ea1nh c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p k\u00edch th\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y nhanh t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3, n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng c\u00e1c bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n, gia t\u0103ng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng, gi\u1ea3m thu\u1ebf ti\u00eau th\u1ee5 \u00f4 t\u00f4 v\u00e0 c\u1ea5p t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng l\u00e3i th\u1ea5p c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 tr\u1ee3 c\u1ea5p doanh nghi\u1ec7p mua t\u01b0 li\u1ec7u s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t,” c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a Nomura \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1.C\u00e1c s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u m\u1edbi c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 cho th\u1ea5y h\u00e0ng lo\u1ea1t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec1u gi\u1ea3m (\u1ea2nh: Qilai Shen | Bloomberg | Getty Images)Th\u00f4ng \u0111i\u1ec7p m\u1edd m\u1ecbt c\u1ee7a th\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng Trung Qu\u1ed1cTh\u1ee7 t\u01b0\u1edbng L\u00fd Kh\u1eafc C\u01b0\u1eddng d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 “d\u1ed9i n\u01b0\u1edbc l\u1ea1nh” v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng k\u00eau g\u1ecdi ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 can thi\u1ec7p m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 v\u1ef1c d\u1eady n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.”S\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng d\u1ec5 \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng tr\u00ean 6% gi\u1eefa b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p,…” \u00f4ng L\u00fd n\u00f3i trong cu\u1ed9c ph\u1ecfng v\u1ea5n v\u1edbi h\u00e3ng TASS (Nga), \u0111\u0103ng t\u1ea3i h\u00f4m 15\/9.”B\u1ea5t ch\u1ea5p s\u1ee9c \u00e9p gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c b\u1edfi kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i, ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a b\u1ea3o h\u1ed9 v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a \u0111\u01a1n ph\u01b0\u01a1ng, kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng ph\u1ee5c h\u1ed3i l\u1edbn, gi\u00e0u ti\u1ec1m n\u0103ng v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng gian c\u01a1 \u0111\u1ed9ng.”Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, Qu\u1ed1c v\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c do \u00f4ng L\u00fd \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n h\u1ea1n ng\u1ea1ch ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu n\u0103m 2020 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng sang n\u0103m nay nh\u1eb1m t\u0103ng c\u01b0\u1eddng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh cho c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n h\u1ea1 t\u1ea7ng. Trong khi \u0111\u00f3, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ed1 ti\u1ec1n m\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 b\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u duy tr\u00ec t\u1ea1i ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng, nh\u1eb1m m\u1edf r\u1ed9ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cho vay c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng.”Kh\u00f4ng nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng l\u1ea7n b\u01a1m [ti\u1ec1n] quy m\u00f4 l\u1edbn tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y, B\u1eafc Kinh th\u00edch n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng t\u1eebng b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 \u0111ang nh\u1ea5n m\u1ea1nh h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a-d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t,” Zhou Hao b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn, \u0111\u1ec1 c\u1eadp g\u00f3i k\u00edch th\u00edch kinh t\u1ebf kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 m\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh tung ra sau cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2008.
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Tranh c\u00e3i quanh t\u00e1c nh\u00e2n khi\u1ebfn kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c li\u00ean t\u1ee5cSau khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u cho th\u1ea5y kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u trong th\u00e1ng 8 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u00e2m (t\u00ednh theo \u0111\u01a1n v\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng USD), c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tranh lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i chi\u1ebfm […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":5488,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5487","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\nNgay c\u1ea3 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u0169ng m\u01a1 h\u1ed3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1eafp b\u1ecb d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o th\u1ebf b\u00ed? - Favorite News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/ngay-ca-nguyen-nhan-cung-mo-ho-trung-quoc-sap-bi-don-vao-the-bi\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Ngay c\u1ea3 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n c\u0169ng m\u01a1 h\u1ed3, Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1eafp b\u1ecb d\u1ed3n v\u00e0o th\u1ebf b\u00ed? 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