{"id":4934,"date":"2019-08-31T19:04:10","date_gmt":"2019-08-31T16:04:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/tai-sao-chien-tranh-thuong-mai-giua-voi-chau-au-se-gay-ra-hau-qua-nang-ne-hon-su-doi-dau-cua-my-va-trung-quoc\/"},"modified":"2019-08-31T19:04:14","modified_gmt":"2019-08-31T16:04:14","slug":"tai-sao-chien-tranh-thuong-mai-giua-voi-chau-au-se-gay-ra-hau-qua-nang-ne-hon-su-doi-dau-cua-my-va-trung-quoc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/tai-sao-chien-tranh-thuong-mai-giua-voi-chau-au-se-gay-ra-hau-qua-nang-ne-hon-su-doi-dau-cua-my-va-trung-quoc\/","title":{"rendered":"T\u1ea1i sao chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd g\u00e2y ra h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 n\u1eb7ng n\u1ec1 h\u01a1n s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f3 l\u1eddi l\u1ebd c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU) d\u00f9 \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 11 t\u1edbi, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng s\u1ebd quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00f3 n\u00ean \u00e1p thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 \u00f4 t\u00f4 hay kh\u00f4ng?<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u00e9p v\u00e0 nh\u00f4m \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, khi\u1ebfn kh\u1ed1i li\u00ean minh n\u00e0y tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a b\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 25% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 2,8 t\u1ef7 USD c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 06\/2018, v\u00e0, c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c tranh c\u00e3i \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra li\u00ean quan t\u1edbi Airbus v\u00e0 Boeing – nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia tin r\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c “c\u00e3i v\u00e3” l\u1edbn h\u01a1n v\u1edbi ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh \u0103n mi\u1ebfng tr\u1ea3 mi\u1ebfng hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

“Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa EU-M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 quan tr\u1ecdng nh\u1ea5t. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 d\u00f2ng ch\u1ea3y th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi”, Florian Hense, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i Berenberg, n\u00f3i v\u1edbi CNBC qua email. “N\u1ebfu t\u00ednh kim ng\u1ea1ch xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u v\u1ec1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5, th\u00ec th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng M\u1ef9-EU \u0111\u00e3 v\u01b0\u1ee3t h\u01a1n 70% so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2018”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam.<\/p>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1eeb V\u0103n ph\u00f2ng \u0110\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 (USTR) cho th\u1ea5y, n\u0103m 2018, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 nh\u1eadp 683,9 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a EU v\u00e0 557,9 t\u1ef7 USD t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Tuy nhi\u00ean, xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 sang ch\u00e2u \u00c2u l\u00e0 574,5 t\u1ef7 USD v\u00e0 sang Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 179,2 t\u1ef7 USD. Nh\u1eefng con s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y bao g\u1ed3m c\u1ea3 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a v\u00e0 d\u1ecbch v\u1ee5.<\/p>\n

“N\u0103m 2018, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang EU nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n ba l\u1ea7n so v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00ec th\u1ebf khu v\u1ef1c n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd g\u00e2y thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i n\u1eb7ng cho Washington”, \u00f4ng Hense b\u00e0y t\u1ecf quan \u0111i\u1ec3m.<\/p>\n

V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a EU, b\u00e0 Cecilia Malmstrom, cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u01b0a ra c\u00e1c m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 M\u1ef9 “t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng” tr\u01b0\u1edbc.<\/p>\n

“Nh\u1eefng quy t\u1eafc th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf m\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f9ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n trong nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m qua v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c M\u1ef9 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb vi ph\u1ea1m n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 ph\u1ea3n \u1ee9ng t\u1eeb ph\u00eda ch\u00fang t\u00f4i”, b\u00e0 n\u00f3i h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 06\/2018. K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ed7i khi M\u1ef9 \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e1p th\u00eam c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n thu\u1ebf, Brussels l\u1ea1i l\u1eadp ra c\u00e1c danh s\u00e1ch h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a kh\u00e1c nhau \u0111\u1ec3 cho th\u1ea5y h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 “\u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3” Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9-EU \u0111ang g\u1eb7p kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n<\/b><\/p>\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, c\u1ea3 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u1ec1u kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ee7 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cho m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u1edf giai \u0111o\u1ea1n n\u00e0y. “D\u00f9 cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9-Trung hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ee9c kh\u1ecfe c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng n\u00f3 di\u1ec5n ra ch\u1eadm v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng trong s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e2n b\u1eb1ng b\u1edfi m\u1ed9t m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh t\u1ebf \u00f4n h\u00f2a”, \u00f4ng Fred Fred Erixon, gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a think tank ECIPE , n\u00f3i v\u1edbi CNBC.<\/p>\n

“\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 gia t\u0103ng nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 thu\u1ebf quan gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 EU v\u00e0o m\u00f9a thu. C\u1ea3 hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng mang t\u00ednh chu k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd kh\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam.<\/p>\n

D\u1eef li\u1ec7u v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i th\u00e1ng 7 cho th\u1ea5y eurozone t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 ch\u1ec9 0,2% trong qu\u00fd hai, gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e2n n\u1eeda so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 0,4% trong qu\u00fd \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean c\u1ee7a n\u0103m nay. Do \u0111\u00f3, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh k\u00edch th\u00edch h\u01a1n n\u1eefa sau m\u00f9a h\u00e8.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1edbi t\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ed9 l\u00e0 2,1% trong qu\u00fd hai c\u1ee7a n\u0103m – th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 1 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m so v\u1edbi qu\u00fd tr\u01b0\u1edbc – v\u00e0 C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (Fed) \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ee3t c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong h\u01a1n m\u1ed9t th\u1eadp ni\u00ean v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 v\u1eeba qua. Ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u t\u1ea1i Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7n M\u1ef9 v\u00e0o gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 7, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Fed, \u00f4ng Jerome Powell, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng “nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i, nh\u01b0 c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 lo l\u1eafng v\u1ec1 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, \u0111ang g\u00e2y tr\u1edf ng\u1ea1i cho ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng kinh t\u1ebf”.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111a qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 l\u00e2m nguy<\/b><\/p>\n

Erik Jones, gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 kinh t\u1ebf ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Johns Hopkins, gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u1eb1ng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kinh doanh c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111a qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang g\u1eb7p nguy hi\u1ec3m do cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9-EU c\u00f3 n\u0103ng x\u1ea3y ra.<\/p>\n

“Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i EU-M\u1ef9 di\u1ec5n ra trong c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty h\u01a1n l\u00e0 gi\u1eefa h\u1ecd. (K\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0) khi b\u1ea1n \u00e1p thu\u1ebf gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng b\u1ea1n s\u1ebd t\u0103ng gi\u00e1 cho ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng v\u00e0 l\u00e0m ph\u1ee9c t\u1ea1p c\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1eafp r\u00e1p \u1edf c\u1ea3 hai n\u01a1i, nh\u01b0 trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p M\u1ef9-Trung, nh\u01b0ng cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng b\u1ea1n c\u0169ng ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng sinh l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng m\u00f4 h\u00ecnh kinh doanh cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111a qu\u1ed1c gia l\u1edbn”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

“V\u00ec nhi\u1ec1u, n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng mu\u1ed1n n\u00f3i l\u00e0 h\u1ea7u h\u1ebft, c\u00f4ng ty \u0111a qu\u1ed1c gia l\u1edbn l\u00e0 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, n\u00ean \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o th\u00eam l\u1ef1c c\u1ea3n cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam.<\/p>\n

Theo c\u01a1 quan th\u1ed1ng k\u00ea ch\u00e2u \u00c2u, h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang ch\u00e2u \u00c2u n\u0103m 2018 l\u00e0 m\u00e1y m\u00f3c, \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1, m\u00e1y bay v\u00e0 c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb li\u00ean quan, c\u00f9ng c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m y d\u01b0\u1ee3c. V\u1ec1 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 mua ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn \u00f4 t\u00f4 t\u1eeb EU c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a d\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u1ea9m v\u00e0 y t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

“Cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u s\u1ebd kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00ec n\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111a qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9, gi\u1ea3m quy m\u00f4 c\u00e1c th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng m\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ef1c cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 tho\u00e1i v\u1ed1n kh\u1ecfi t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd, do \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u1ecd c\u00e0ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ph\u00f3ng h\u01a1n n\u1eefa”, Jones n\u00f3i trong m\u1ed9t email.<\/p>\n

“N\u00f3i c\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0m m\u1ea5t \u0111i t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 nh\u1eefng l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf v\u1ec1 c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1o ra k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi k\u1ebft th\u00fac Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi th\u1ee9 hai”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Donald Trump ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c c\u00f3 l\u1eddi l\u1ebd c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn ch\u1ed1ng l\u1ea1i Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU) d\u00f9 \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o vi\u1ec7c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y. 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