{"id":4931,"date":"2019-08-31T17:45:01","date_gmt":"2019-08-31T14:45:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/boi-canh-the-gioi-hien-tai-giong-voi-thoi-ky-dai-khung-hoang-va-ngan-hang-trung-uong-cung-khong-the-cuu-giup-nuoc-my\/"},"modified":"2019-08-31T17:45:04","modified_gmt":"2019-08-31T14:45:04","slug":"boi-canh-the-gioi-hien-tai-giong-voi-thoi-ky-dai-khung-hoang-va-ngan-hang-trung-uong-cung-khong-the-cuu-giup-nuoc-my","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/boi-canh-the-gioi-hien-tai-giong-voi-thoi-ky-dai-khung-hoang-va-ngan-hang-trung-uong-cung-khong-the-cuu-giup-nuoc-my\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i gi\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0110\u1ea1i kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 “c\u1ee9u gi\u00fap” n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Trong b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean LinkedIn v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, nh\u00e0 s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 Bridgewater Associates cho bi\u1ebft m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 cao v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 hai trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i. M\u00e2u thu\u1eabn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng g\u00e2y th\u00eam c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng cho b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, khi m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u ti\u1ec1m l\u1ef1c tranh \u0111\u1ea5u v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i.\u00a0<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng vi\u1ebft: “N\u1ebfu\/khi suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf di\u1ec5n ra, th\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nghi\u00eam tr\u1ecdng t\u1eeb h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a 3 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 tr\u00ean v\u00e0 s\u1ebd t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1930.”<\/p>\n

B\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng n\u00e0y c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 k\u1ebft n\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3 m\u00e0 \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra v\u1ec1 “chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i h\u1ec7 thuy\u1ebft” (paradigm shift – l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i l\u1edbn x\u1ea3y ra khi c\u00e1ch suy ngh\u0129 hay c\u00e1ch l\u00e0m th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c thay th\u1ebf b\u1eb1ng m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch m\u1edbi v\u00e0 kh\u00e1c bi\u1ec7t). \u1ede b\u00e0i vi\u1ebft v\u1ec1 “paradigm shift”, \u00f4ng n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng v\u00e0ng s\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3ng vai tr\u00f2 quan tr\u1ecdng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t “h\u00e0ng r\u00e0o” l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u00e0i lu\u1eadn g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t, \u00f4ng c\u00f2n n\u00f3i v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c c\u00e1c nh\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111ang bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i gi\u1eef m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p nh\u01b0 th\u1ebf n\u00e0o v\u00e0 “in ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u1ec3 mua t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh” nh\u1eb1m th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 g\u00e2y ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t t\u00e0i kho\u00e1 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn. \u00d4ng cho r\u1eb1ng “c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng gi\u1ea3m ph\u00e1t m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd” t\u1ed3n t\u1ea1i tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng khi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

“Nh\u1eefng ‘l\u1ef1c l\u01b0\u1ee3ng’ n\u00e0y \u0111ang t\u1ea1o ra nhu c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 l\u1ecfng l\u1ebbo, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111ang bu\u1ed9c c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. V\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y s\u1ebd g\u00e2y ra t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng th\u00e2m h\u1ee5t c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 l\u1edbn, nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. \u0110\u00e2y c\u0169ng ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n g\u00e2y ra ‘th\u1ea3m ho\u1ea1’ b\u00f9ng n\u1ed5 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1980 – 1982, theo \u0111\u00f3 gi\u00e1 v\u00e0ng c\u0169ng t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt.”<\/p>\n

B\u1edfi v\u1eady, \u00f4ng cho r\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng s\u1ebd s\u1edbm “c\u1ea1n ki\u1ec7n” nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n ho\u1eb7c \u0111\u1ea9y l\u00f9i suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf khi th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi b\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o giai \u0111o\u1ea1n cu\u1ed1i c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 n\u1ee3 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n. \u00d4ng vi\u1ebft: “L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u1edf m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c vi\u1ec7c h\u1ea1 th\u00eam n\u1eefa \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00edch th\u00edch t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3.”<\/p>\n

\u1ede b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng, \u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0a ra s\u1ef1 so s\u00e1nh gi\u1eefa t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh c\u1ee7a n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u hi\u1ec7n nay v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 1930. D\u00f9 kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh 2 tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n gi\u1ed1ng nhau, nh\u01b0ng \u00f4ng c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0a ra lu\u1eadn \u0111i\u1ec3m cho th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng l\u1ecbch s\u1eed \u0111ang l\u1eb7p l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

Dalio vi\u1ebft: “H\u00e3y hi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng t\u00f4i kh\u00f4ng n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng qu\u00e1 kh\u1ee9 c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u1ed3ng v\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i. \u0110i\u1ec1u t\u00f4i \u0111ang n\u00f3i l\u00e0 c\u00e1c m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n\/h\u1ec7 qu\u1ea3 l\u00e0 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nhau:<\/p>\n

a) ch\u00fang ta \u0111ang ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn \u0111\u1ebfn giai \u0111o\u1ea1n k\u1ebft th\u00fac c\u1ee7a chu k\u1ef3 n\u1ee3 ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n v\u00e0 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n;<\/p>\n

b) ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb trong n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch l\u1edbn c\u1ee7a gi\u00e0u ngh\u00e8o v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb, \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y \u0111ang t\u1ea1o ra xung \u0111\u1ed9t n\u1ed9i b\u1ed9 gi\u1eefa ng\u01b0\u1eddi gi\u00e0u v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ngh\u00e8o, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 t\u01b0 b\u1ea3n v\u00e0 x\u00e3 h\u1ed9i ch\u1ee7 ngh\u0129a;<\/p>\n

c) xung \u0111\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb b\u00ean ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 tr\u1ed7i d\u1eady c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t c\u01b0\u1eddng qu\u1ed1c m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i v\u00e0 th\u00e1ch th\u1ee9c quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i c\u1ee7a tr\u1eadt t\u1ef1 th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.”<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: “C\u00f3 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec1u ph\u1ea3i nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch hi\u1ec3u v\u1ec1 c\u01a1 ch\u1ebf c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra sau \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ec3 hi\u1ec3u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nh\u1eefng g\u00ec \u0111ang di\u1ec5n ra. B\u1ea1n c\u0169ng n\u00ean c\u00f3 ki\u1ebfn th\u1ee9c v\u1ec1 c\u00e1ch v\u1eadn h\u00e0nh c\u1ee7a “chuy\u1ec3n \u0111\u1ed5i h\u1ec7 thuy\u1ebft” v\u00e0 l\u00e0m c\u00e1ch n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111a d\u1ea1ng h\u01a1n nh\u1eb1m b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 ch\u00ednh m\u00ecnh tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Trong b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean LinkedIn v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, nh\u00e0 s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 Bridgewater Associates cho bi\u1ebft m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 cao v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 hai trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i. M\u00e2u thu\u1eabn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4932,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4931","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\nB\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i gi\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0110\u1ea1i kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 "c\u1ee9u gi\u00fap" n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 - Favorite News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/boi-canh-the-gioi-hien-tai-giong-voi-thoi-ky-dai-khung-hoang-va-ngan-hang-trung-uong-cung-khong-the-cuu-giup-nuoc-my\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"B\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i gi\u1ed1ng v\u1edbi th\u1eddi k\u1ef3 \u0110\u1ea1i kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 "c\u1ee9u gi\u00fap" n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9 - Favorite News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[ad_1] Trong b\u00e0i \u0111\u0103ng tr\u00ean LinkedIn v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, nh\u00e0 s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp c\u1ee7a qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u c\u01a1 Bridgewater Associates cho bi\u1ebft m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 cao v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u00e1ch th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n kh\u00f4ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 hai trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 ch\u00ednh c\u1ea7n theo d\u00f5i. 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