{"id":4193,"date":"2019-08-14T17:33:14","date_gmt":"2019-08-14T14:33:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/duong-cong-loi-suat-them-mot-lan-dao-nguoc-tin-hieu-canh-bao-do-cho-suy-thoai-kinh-te-nha-dau-tu-thao-chay-den-cac-loai-tai-san-an-toan\/"},"modified":"2019-08-14T17:33:15","modified_gmt":"2019-08-14T14:33:15","slug":"duong-cong-loi-suat-them-mot-lan-dao-nguoc-tin-hieu-canh-bao-do-cho-suy-thoai-kinh-te-nha-dau-tu-thao-chay-den-cac-loai-tai-san-an-toan","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/duong-cong-loi-suat-them-mot-lan-dao-nguoc-tin-hieu-canh-bao-do-cho-suy-thoai-kinh-te-nha-dau-tu-thao-chay-den-cac-loai-tai-san-an-toan\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o “\u0111\u1ecf” cho suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e1o ch\u1ea1y \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n"},"content":{"rendered":"

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L\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed1c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 2 n\u0103m, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef3 l\u1ea1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng tin khi ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf. L\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 30 n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p nh\u1ea5t m\u1ecdi th\u1eddi \u0111\u1ea1t, v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e1y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ghi nh\u1eadn v\u00e0o m\u00f9a h\u00e8 n\u0103m 2016. Di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn n\u00e0y cho th\u1ea5y m\u1ed1i lo ng\u1ea1i ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng l\u1edbn v\u1ec1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e1o ch\u1ea1y \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng “h\u1ea7m tr\u00fa \u1ea9n” an to\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

C\u1ee5 th\u1ec3, chi\u1ec1u ng\u00e0y th\u1ee9 T\u01b0, l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 10 n\u0103m giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 1,623%, th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t 2 n\u0103m l\u00e0 1,634%. L\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t l\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 12\/2005, 2 n\u0103m tr\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh.<\/p>\n

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L\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 30 n\u0103m giao d\u1ecbch quanh m\u1ee9c 2,061%, d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c th\u1ea5p k\u1ef7 l\u1ee5c tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 2,0889% khi Anh b\u1ecf phi\u1ebfu cho Brexit h\u1ed3i n\u0103m 2016. Theo \u0111\u00f3, m\u1ee9c gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u0169ng t\u0103ng.<\/p>\n

Hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang mong \u0111\u1ee3i l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n s\u1ebd cao h\u01a1n tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 “\u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c”. C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf th\u01b0\u1eddng theo d\u00f5i s\u00e1t sao kho\u1ea3ng ch\u00eanh l\u1ec7ch gi\u1eefa tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 10 n\u0103m v\u00e0 2 n\u0103m, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t ch\u00fa \u00fd khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong b\u1ecb \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c – \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 di\u1ec5n ra ngay tr\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng trong 50 n\u0103m qua. Trong khi hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y g\u00e2y ra s\u1ef1 lo ng\u1ea1i, th\u00ec \u1edf m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m ch\u1ec9 b\u00e1o n\u00e0y v\u1eabn di\u1ec5n ra kh\u00e1 l\u00e2u tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c di\u1ec5n ra.<\/p>\n

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Theo d\u1eef li\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a Credit Suisse v\u00e0o n\u0103m 1978:<\/b><\/p>\n

5 l\u1ea7n \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t gi\u1eefa tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 2 n\u0103m v\u00e0 10 n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ec1u d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng suy tho\u00e1i.<\/p>\n

Trung b\u00ecnh, m\u1ed9t cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i di\u1ec5n ra 22 n\u0103m sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 2 n\u0103m v\u00e0 10 n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

Trung b\u00ecnh, S&P 500 t\u0103ng 12% 1 n\u0103m sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 2 n\u0103m v\u00e0 10 n\u0103m \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c.<\/p>\n

18 th\u00e1ng sau khi \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u00ec th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n quay \u0111\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3m \u0111i\u1ec3m v\u00e0 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u mang v\u1ec1 l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn \u00e2m.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

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\"\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i l\u1ecbch s\u1eed, t\u00e0i li\u1ec7u theo d\u00f5i \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ed3ng \u0111\u1ec1u. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc Th\u1ebf chi\u1ebfn II, s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u00e3 d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u00fang 7 trong s\u1ed1 9 cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i g\u1ea7n nh\u1ea5t, theo Sung Won Sohn, gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Loyola Marymount v\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a SS Economics.<\/p>\n

Sohn cho hay: “\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 t\u00e0i li\u1ec7u m\u00e0 b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf h\u1ecdc n\u00e0o \u0111\u1ec1u c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y t\u1ef1 h\u00e0o. N\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c ng\u00e0y h\u00f4m nay, th\u00ec suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 di\u1ec5n ra trong v\u00f2ng 1 n\u0103m t\u1edbi.”<\/p>\n

Trong th\u00e1ng 8, l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m m\u1ea1nh khi nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ti\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng GDP, c\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t suy gi\u1ea3m v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t h\u01a1n c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng. \u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u khi\u1ebfn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lo ng\u1ea1i, t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 an to\u00e0n h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n n\u1eefa \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 \u0110\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u00e2m. L\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c M\u1ef9 10 n\u0103m,\u00a0 m\u1ed9t m\u1ee9c chu\u1ea9n quan tr\u1ecdng m\u00e0 c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p v\u00e0 cho vay, \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m 40 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m nay, m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n c\u1ee7a \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c, l\u00e0m t\u0103ng m\u1ed1i lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf khi l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 3 n\u0103m cao h\u01a1n 10 n\u0103m.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] L\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed1c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 2 n\u0103m, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef3 l\u1ea1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng tin khi ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf. L\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 30 n\u0103m \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":4194,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4193","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\n\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o "\u0111\u1ecf" cho suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e1o ch\u1ea1y \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n - Favorite News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/duong-cong-loi-suat-them-mot-lan-dao-nguoc-tin-hieu-canh-bao-do-cho-suy-thoai-kinh-te-nha-dau-tu-thao-chay-den-cac-loai-tai-san-an-toan\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"\u0110\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t th\u00eam m\u1ed9t l\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c, t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o "\u0111\u1ecf" cho suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf, nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 th\u00e1o ch\u1ea1y \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n an to\u00e0n - Favorite News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[ad_1] L\u1ee3i t\u1ee9c tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu Kho b\u1ea1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u00e3 ph\u00e1 v\u1ee1 m\u1ed1c th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 2 n\u0103m, \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng k\u1ef3 l\u1ea1 tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 r\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e1ng tin khi ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf. 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