<\/p>\n
\u0110\u00f2n \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfp theo m\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed ho\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD – \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. Trong m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t nh\u1eefng d\u00f2ng tweet chia s\u1ebb h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 N\u0103m, \u00f4ng \u0111\u00e3 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t v\u00e0 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng USD \u0111\u1ec3 mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u cho M\u1ef9. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y lo\u1ea1i b\u1ecf ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n m\u1ed9t tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn chung k\u00e9o d\u00e0i m\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump v\u1eeba k\u00fd kho\u1ea3ng v\u00e0i tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb G-20, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng cho ph\u00e9p \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 y\u1ebfu \u0111i nh\u1eb1m t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 c\u1ea1nh tranh.<\/p>\n
T\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7<\/b><\/p>\n
B\u00ean trong Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng, nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi mang quan \u0111i\u1ec3m “di\u1ec1u h\u00e2u” \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, h\u1ecd ch\u1ec9 ra r\u1eb1ng ng\u00e0nh s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i – \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u nh\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ebfn t\u1eeb thu\u1ebf quan \u00f4ng Trump \u00e1p \u0111\u1eb7t v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n xung quanh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n
Hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 hay vi\u1ec7c Fed h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng. Ngay c\u1ea3 khi Fed ch\u1ea5p nh\u1eadn can thi\u1ec7p nh\u01b0 tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y v\u00e0 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng qu\u1ef9 Ng\u00e2n kh\u1ed1 th\u00ec 180 t\u1ef7 USD \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c b\u01a1m v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u 5 ngh\u00ecn t\u1ef7 USD c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u0169ng ch\u1ec9 mang l\u1ea1i hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y c\u0169ng khi\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng lung lay v\u00e0 t\u1ea1o h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 v\u1ec1 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, khi ng\u00e0i t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng v\u00e0 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng \u0111ang t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i can thi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, th\u00ec v\u1eabn c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t kho\u1ea3ng c\u00e1ch xa \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi lo\u1ea1i v\u0169 khi cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng m\u00e0 \u00f4ng c\u00f3, theo c\u00e1c c\u1ef1u v\u00e0 quan ch\u1ee9c M\u1ef9 \u0111\u01b0\u01a1ng nhi\u1ec7m, c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n cho ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch.<\/p>\n
Gary Hufbauer, chuy\u00ean gia th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i t\u1ea1i Vi\u1ec7n Kinh t\u1ebf Qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf Peterson: “\u00d4ng \u1ea5y ch\u1ec9 ch\u0103m ch\u0103m v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u1ea3n \u0111\u00f2n Trung Qu\u1ed1c.” Hufbauer l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean ch\u1ec9 ra nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p thu\u1ebf quan m\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump c\u00f3 trong tay \u1edf chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch tranh c\u1eed t\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng n\u0103m 2016.\u00a0<\/p>\n
V\u0169 kh\u00ed quen thu\u1ed9c: thu\u1ebf quan<\/b><\/p>\n
\u00d4ng Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00e1i s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng lo\u1ea1i v\u0169 kh\u00ed \u01b0a th\u00edch, \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 thu\u1ebf quan, v\u00e0 t\u0103ng m\u1ed1i \u0111e do\u1ea1 g\u1ea5p \u0111\u00f4i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 h\u00e0ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, ho\u1eb7c 300 t\u1ef7 USD gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 giao th\u01b0\u01a1ng h\u00e0ng n\u0103m, b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch n\u00e2ng m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf v\u1eeba \u0111\u1eb7t ra tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc t\u1eeb 10% l\u00ean 25%. V\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m \u00f4ng Trump t\u1eadp trung ch\u00fa \u00fd v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7, \u0111i\u1ec1u tr\u1edb tr\u00eau l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m suy y\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ed3ng NDT, do \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c h\u1ea1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 l\u1ea5y l\u00fd do Trung Qu\u1ed1c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n
M\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, cho ph\u00e9p c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty y\u00eau c\u1ea7u v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n thu\u1ebf c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i t\u1eeb quy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c Trung Qu\u1ed1c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh. V\u00e0 n\u1ebfu \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n th\u00ec m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty s\u1ebd y\u00eau c\u1ea7u \u00e1p thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00f2ng v\u00e0 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a s\u1ebd xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n.<\/p>\n
N\u00e2ng r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n khi h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung \u1ee9ng, s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9<\/b><\/p>\n
Quan tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n c\u1ea3, Hufbauer l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u00f4ng Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng r\u00e0o c\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o M\u1ef9 ho\u1eb7c nh\u1eafm v\u00e0o ngu\u1ed3n cung \u1ee9ng n\u0103ng l\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch r\u00fat l\u1ea1i quy \u0111\u1ecbnh mi\u1ec5n tr\u1eeb – v\u1ed1n cho ph\u00e9p B\u1eafc Kinh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c mua d\u1ea7u t\u1eeb Iran v\u00e0 Venezuela.<\/p>\n
\u00d4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf trong ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng kinh doanh v\u1edbi Huawei v\u1eabn \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n. Tuy nhi\u00ean, Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang ho\u00e3n l\u1ea1i quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ea5p gi\u1ea5y ph\u00e9p cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Huawei, sau khi B\u1eafc Kinh tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 ng\u1eebng mua n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n
Nh\u1eefng c\u1ef1u v\u00e0 quan ch\u1ee9c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u kh\u00e1c nh\u1eb1m v\u00e0o Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Nh\u1eefng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u0111ang t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng m\u1ed9t th\u1eddi gian ho\u1eb7c tr\u00ec ho\u00e3n khi \u00f4ng Trump \u0111ang ti\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn v\u00e0 s\u1eafp t\u1edbi c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n
B\u1ed9 Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u0169ng \u0111ang nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p m\u1edbi n\u1ed5i nh\u01b0 robot v\u00e0 AI, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c y\u00eau c\u1ea7u c\u00f3 gi\u1ea5y ph\u00e9p \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t \u0111\u1ec3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u sang c\u00e1c n\u01a1i nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c. Qu\u00e1 tr\u00ecnh c\u1eadp nh\u1eadt danh s\u00e1ch nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t \u0111\u00e3 ti\u1ebfn h\u00e0nh v\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd ho\u00e0n thi\u1ec7n v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m nay.<\/p>\n
Ngo\u00e0i ra, c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt l\u01b0\u1ee1ng \u0111\u1ea3ng t\u1ea1i Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i m\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ch\u00fang quay tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y y\u00eau c\u1ea7u Fed qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng USD nh\u1eb1m mang l\u1ea1i l\u1ee3i \u00edch cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n ch\u1ea3y v\u00e0o, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh kh\u00e1c t\u1eeb ch\u1ed1i nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c ti\u1ebfp c\u1eadn th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ed1n c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. Ngo\u00e0i ra, m\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 lu\u1eadt n\u1eefa c\u0169ng \u0111ang xem x\u00e9t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u01b0u h\u00e0nh \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u1ea5m ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n Huawei v\u00e0 ZTE h\u1ee3p t\u00e1c v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 cung \u1ee9ng M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n
R\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 x\u1ea3y \u0111\u1ebfn<\/b><\/p>\n
Michael Pillsbury, m\u1ed9t c\u1ed1 v\u1ea5n kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean c\u1ee7a ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u00f4ng Trump, kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh r\u1eb1ng trong khi \u00f4ng Trump “c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u lo\u1ea1i s\u00fang h\u01a1n” th\u00ec \u00f4ng \u1ea5y c\u0169ng c\u00f3 quan \u0111i\u1ec3m th\u1ef1c d\u1ee5ng h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng tr\u1ee3 l\u00fd v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng t\u1eeb b\u1ecf tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n
Pillsbury l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn, \u00e1p l\u1ef1c m\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump t\u1ea1o ra \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u1eefng nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 k\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c B\u1eafc Kinh tri\u1ec3n khai c\u00e1c to\u00e0 \u00e1n v\u1ec1 s\u1edf h\u1eefu tr\u00ed tu\u1ec7 m\u1edbi. \u00d4ng cho r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng n\u00ean m\u1ed9t tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn, t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng th\u1ee9 to l\u1edbn h\u01a1n nh\u01b0 t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n th\u00e2m nh\u1eadp v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 mua th\u00eam n\u00f4ng s\u1ea3n M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec3 h\u00e0ng r\u00e0o thu\u1ebf quan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ee1 b\u1ecf, ban \u0111\u1ea7u s\u1ebd c\u00f3 l\u1ee3i \u00edch cho c\u1ea3 \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 \u00f4ng T\u1eadp. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng ch\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 “kh\u00f3 nh\u1eb1n” nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c M\u1ef9 th\u00fac \u0111\u1ea9y Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m s\u1ef1 h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 cho doanh nghi\u1ec7p nh\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u1ea3i c\u00e1ch kinh t\u1ebf kh\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1m \u0111\u01b0a ra kh\u1ecfi b\u00e0n \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia th\u00e2n c\u1eadn v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n l\u1ea1i nh\u1eadn th\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 r\u1ee7i ro. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea9y \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n t\u1ed3i t\u1ec7 v\u1edbi M\u1ef9. M\u1ed9t k\u1ecbch b\u1ea3n nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra h\u01a1n l\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c khi th\u1ebfu quan \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho to\u00e0n b\u1ed9 h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y v\u00e0 cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p s\u1ef1 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn v\u1ec1 b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh thay v\u00ec t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o m\u1ed9t tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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\u0110\u00f2n \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 ti\u1ebfp theo m\u00e0 \u00f4ng Trump c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 v\u0169 kh\u00ed ho\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD – \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. 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