{"id":4043,"date":"2019-08-10T16:54:44","date_gmt":"2019-08-10T13:54:44","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/nhung-con-no-giau-mat-co-the-dang-bao-hieu-su-truc-trac-trong-nen-kinh-te-toan-cau\/"},"modified":"2019-08-10T16:54:45","modified_gmt":"2019-08-10T13:54:45","slug":"nhung-con-no-giau-mat-co-the-dang-bao-hieu-su-truc-trac-trong-nen-kinh-te-toan-cau","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/nhung-con-no-giau-mat-co-the-dang-bao-hieu-su-truc-trac-trong-nen-kinh-te-toan-cau\/","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u1eefng con n\u1ee3 \u201cgi\u1ea5u m\u1eb7t\u201d c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111ang b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u s\u1ef1 tr\u1ee5c tr\u1eb7c trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Theo S&P Global Market Intelligence, nh\u1eefng “con n\u1ee3” \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty nh\u1ecf kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c S&P Global x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng. X\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thanh to\u00e1n n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ho\u1eb7c c\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

C\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u00fd do v\u00ec sao h\u1ecd ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u1ec3 ti\u1ebft ki\u1ec7m chi ph\u00ed, ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 quen thu\u1ed9c v\u1edbi \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3. Trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty n\u1ed5i ti\u1ebfng t\u1eebng ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch kh\u00f4ng x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u00f3 h\u00e3ng th\u1eddi trang cao c\u1ea5p \u00dd Prada v\u00e0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng hi\u1ec7u \u0111\u1ed3 th\u1ec3 thao Adidas.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 v\u1eady, nh\u00ecn chung, nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ty kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng S&P l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty nh\u1ecf. Nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0y c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u1ea1n nh\u00e2n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ee3t suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf, rheo Michelle Cheong, gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u cho d\u1eef li\u1ec7u gi\u1ea3i ph\u00e1p t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng t\u1ea1i S&P Global Market Intelligence.<\/p>\n

Nh\u00f3m \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac “\u1ea9n, kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ch\u00fa \u00fd”, Cheong n\u00f3i v\u1edbi CNBC. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u00ec nh\u1eefng “con n\u1ee3” kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng c\u00f3 quy m\u00f4 nh\u1ecf h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u: T\u1ed5ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd lu\u00f4n th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n 10% so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ty kh\u00e1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng trong v\u00f2ng 5 n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n

“C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng gi\u1ed1ng nh\u01b0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o s\u1edbm cho m\u1ed9t \u0111i\u1ec1u nguy hi\u1ec3m \u0111ang \u0111\u1ebfn g\u1ea7n. H\u1ecd th\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3 tr\u01b0\u1edbc – tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi b\u1ea1n th\u1ea5y tr\u1ee5c tr\u1eb7c x\u1ea3y ra \u1edf c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng – b\u1edfi v\u00ec h\u1ecd l\u00e0 m\u1eaft x\u00edch li\u00ean k\u1ebft y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n”, b\u00e0 n\u00f3i th\u00eam.<\/p>\n

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T\u1ed5ng t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng trong n\u0103m t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh 2018 (Ngu\u1ed3n: S&P Global Market Intelligence (28\/06\/ 2019).<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Cheong ch\u1ec9 ra nh\u1eefng r\u1ee7i ro c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u1edf c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c c\u00f3 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u nh\u1eefng ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 nh\u01b0 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh thu nh\u1eadp v\u00e0 t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng doanh thu. B\u00e0 c\u0169ng t\u00ecm hi\u1ec3u v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u b\u00e1o nguy ti\u1ec1m \u1ea9n, g\u1ed3m nh\u1eefng th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u00f4ng khai m\u00e0 d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 “ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c”, ch\u1eb3ng h\u1ea1n nh\u01b0 vi\u1ec7c t\u00e1i c\u1ea5u tr\u00fac c\u00f4ng ty.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t xu h\u01b0\u1edbng \u0111\u00e1ng lo ng\u1ea1i, Cheong n\u00f3i, l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 su\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn gi\u1ea3m \u1edf c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng. M\u1ed9t l\u00fd do \u0111\u1eb1ng sau \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u00edt l\u1ee3i nhu\u1eadn do t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb c\u00f3 s\u1eb5n trong v\u00e0i n\u0103m qua, b\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch t\u1eeb l\u00e2u \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 nguy hi\u1ec3m c\u1ee7a t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng n\u1ee3 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng t\u0103ng do l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p tr\u00ean to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. M\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n sau khi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 k\u00edch th\u00edch n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf sau cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u00e1o c\u00e1o \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 4, Qu\u1ef9 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf (IMF) cho r\u1eb1ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t th\u1ea5p \u0111\u00e3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 r\u1ee7i ro cao h\u01a1n trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u0103ng s\u1ef1 d\u1ec5 b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n th\u01b0\u01a1ng trong h\u1ec7 th\u1ed1ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m cho nh\u1eefng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf tr\u1edf n\u00ean t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a S&P Global Market Intelligence cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c th\u1ef1c th\u1ec3 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng l\u00e0 n\u1eb1m trong s\u1ed1 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed1i t\u01b0\u1ee3ng c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 t\u0103ng \u0111\u1ed9t bi\u1ebfn trong v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3.<\/p>\n

Theo nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u tr\u00ean, c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3 \u1edf m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 “ch\u01b0a t\u1eebng c\u00f3” trong n\u0103m nay, trong khi kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng Anh r\u1eddi kh\u1ecfi Li\u00ean minh ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (EU) m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn n\u00e0o \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ebfn tri\u1ec3n v\u1ecdng c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi, l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 \u1edf ch\u00e2u \u00c1 – Th\u00e1i B\u00ecnh D\u01b0\u01a1ng \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1edfi s\u1ef1 suy gi\u1ea3m nhu c\u1ea7u v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u00fa \u00fd \u0111\u1ebfn nh\u1eefng d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee7a tr\u1ee5c tr\u1eb7c – \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 sau khi M\u1ef9, n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf d\u00e0i nh\u1ea5t trong l\u1ecbch s\u1eed.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o suy tho\u00e1i \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 3: L\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu kho b\u1ea1c k\u1ef3 h\u1ea1n 10 n\u0103m c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee9c c\u1ee7a tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu 3 th\u00e1ng. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ea3o ng\u01b0\u1ee3c trong \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng cong l\u1ee3i su\u1ea5t, \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc m\u1ed7i cu\u1ed9c suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf trong 50 n\u0103m qua.<\/p>\n

Ph\u00e2n t\u00edch c\u1ee7a Cheong v\u1ec1 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c S&P x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 m\u1edbi, nh\u01b0ng b\u00e0 cho bi\u1ebft nh\u1eefng con n\u1ee3 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng “\u1edf nh\u00f3m t\u1ec7 nh\u1ea5t” c\u1ee7a ng\u00e0nh b\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ed9ng s\u1ea3n M\u1ef9 (l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 \u0111\u00e3 g\u00f3p ph\u1ea7n g\u00e2y ra cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u) \u0111\u00e3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u g\u1eb7p v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 trong vi\u1ec7c tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng n\u0103m 2005 v\u00e0 2006.<\/p>\n

Nh\u01b0 b\u00e0 l\u01b0u \u00fd, \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 di\u1ec5n ra r\u1ea5t l\u00e2u tr\u01b0\u1edbc khi x\u1ea3y ra cu\u1ed9c kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng n\u1ee3 d\u01b0\u1edbi chu\u1ea9n.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, Cheong cho r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 quan s\u00e1t ph\u00e2n kh\u00fac ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec3 ph\u00e1t hi\u1ec7n ra m\u1ed9t b\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u1eb7t r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng trong chu k\u1ef3 kinh t\u1ebf. B\u00e0 gi\u1ea3i th\u00edch r\u1eb1ng nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u00e1c xu h\u01b0\u1edbng kh\u00e1c nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng v\u1ee5 v\u1ee1 n\u1ee3 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c tin c\u1eady th\u1ea5p v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 l\u1ea7n h\u1ea1 b\u1eadc so v\u1edbi n\u00e2ng b\u1eadc x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed9t b\u1ee9c tranh t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] Theo S&P Global Market Intelligence, nh\u1eefng “con n\u1ee3” \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty nh\u1ecf kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c S&P Global x\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng. X\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thanh to\u00e1n n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ho\u1eb7c c\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3. 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X\u1ebfp h\u1ea1ng t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u00e1nh gi\u00e1 v\u1ec1 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng thanh to\u00e1n n\u1ee3 c\u1ee7a m\u1ed9t ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 ho\u1eb7c c\u00f4ng ty n\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3. 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