{"id":3992,"date":"2019-08-09T10:34:48","date_gmt":"2019-08-09T07:34:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/so-huu-thu-vu-khi-ngan-ti-usd-trung-quoc-van-chua-tan-cong-my-vi-dang-ban-mai-cho-sac-hay-vi-so\/"},"modified":"2019-08-09T10:34:49","modified_gmt":"2019-08-09T07:34:49","slug":"so-huu-thu-vu-khi-ngan-ti-usd-trung-quoc-van-chua-tan-cong-my-vi-dang-ban-mai-cho-sac-hay-vi-so","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/so-huu-thu-vu-khi-ngan-ti-usd-trung-quoc-van-chua-tan-cong-my-vi-dang-ban-mai-cho-sac-hay-vi-so\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u1edf h\u1eefu th\u1ee9 v\u0169 kh\u00ed ng\u00e0n t\u1ec9 USD, Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a t\u1ea5n c\u00f4ng M\u1ef9 v\u00ec \u0111ang b\u1eadn “m\u00e0i” cho s\u1eafc, hay v\u00ec… s\u1ee3?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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M\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00f4i qua k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9- Trung Qu\u1ed1c “t\u0103ng nhi\u1ec7t” tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. Sau khi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf l\u00ean 300 t\u1ec9 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c , B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 h\u1ea1 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 – m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 nh\u1eb1m m\u1ee5c \u0111\u00edch tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a Washington.<\/p>\n

L\u1eadp t\u1ee9c, B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 tung ra \u0111\u00f2n ti\u1ebfp theo: li\u1ec7t Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0o danh s\u00e1ch c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia “thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7”, <\/i>khi\u1ebfn c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean c\u00e0ng leo thang. <\/i><\/p>\n

Nh\u1eefng \u0111\u00f2n “\u0103n mi\u1ebfng, tr\u1ea3 mi\u1ebfng” k\u1ec3 tr\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u chao \u0111\u1ea3o v\u00e0 \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ef1 ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n c\u1ee7a kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. T\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111ang n\u00edn th\u1edf d\u00f5i theo di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u1ee7a cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1edd ti\u1ebfp theo \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c m\u1ed7i b\u00ean tung ra.<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o M\u1ef9 r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng chi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ea5u n\u1ebfu c\u1ea7n thi\u1ebft. V\u00e0 h\u1ecd v\u1eabn c\u00f2n m\u1ed9t qu\u00e2n \u00e1t ch\u1ee7 b\u00e0i, m\u1ed9t th\u1ee9 v\u0169 kh\u00ed v\u00f4 c\u00f9ng l\u1ee3i h\u1ea1i c\u00f2n \u0111ang gi\u1ea5u trong tay \u00e1o: \u0111\u00f3 ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf trong vai tr\u00f2 ch\u1ee7 n\u1ee3 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean l\u00fd thuy\u1ebft, B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ch\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ed9ng tr\u00ean th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch b\u00e1n th\u00e1o s\u1ed1 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 t\u1ed5ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb l\u00ean \u0111\u1ebfn 1.100 t\u1ec9 USD m\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111ang s\u1edf h\u1eefu.<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c (theo gi\u1ea3 thuy\u1ebft) b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn gi\u00e1 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu gi\u1ea3m s\u00e2u, khi\u1ebfn l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt, v\u00e0 t\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3n vay (c\u1ea3 v\u1ed1n l\u1eabn l\u00e3i) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, v\u1eabn c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u l\u00ed do khi\u1ebfn gi\u1edbi chuy\u00ean gia tin r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng d\u00f9ng \u0111\u1ebfn th\u1ee9 v\u0169 kh\u00ed n\u00e0y. “C\u00f3 l\u1ebd \u0111\u00f3 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u1edd h\u1eefu d\u1ee5ng nh\u1ea5t [\u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c] hi\u1ec7n nay”,<\/i> theo nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng <\/i>Brad Setser, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 nghi\u00ean c\u1ee9u c\u1ea5p cao t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Quan h\u1ec7 \u0110\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, v\u00e0 t\u1eebng l\u00e0 chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

L\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn “h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n”<\/b><\/p>\n

Sau khi \u0111\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 tr\u01b0\u1ee3t gi\u00e1 qua m\u1ed1c t\u00e2m l\u00fd, Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111\u1ea3o chi\u1ec1u, cho th\u1ea5y vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3ng nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 m\u1ea5t gi\u00e1 ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o g\u1eedi t\u1edbi M\u1ef9. Tuy nhi\u00ean T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump v\u1eabn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c tung \u0111\u00f2n tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a v\u00ec \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y, k\u1ec3 c\u1ea3 khi ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 t\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

T\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh hi\u1ec7n nay c\u00f3 nguy c\u01a1 r\u1ea5t cao s\u1ebd ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c leo thang. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00ed do xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed1i quan ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 trong nh\u1eefng ng\u00e0y g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y.<\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 mu\u1ed1n “\u0111\u1ea1i n\u00e1o” n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9, th\u00ec h\u1ecd s\u1ebd k\u00edch ho\u1ea1t l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn “h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n” \u1ea5y: b\u00e1n th\u00e1o ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng, khi\u1ebfn tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 t\u1ee5t gi\u00e1 th\u00ea th\u1ea3m.<\/p>\n

\u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt. V\u00e0 b\u1edfi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 chu\u1ea9n m\u1ef1c cho t\u00edn d\u1ee5ng kinh doanh v\u00e0 ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3, th\u1ebf ch\u1ea5p v\u00e0 cho vay t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a doanh nghi\u1ec7p c\u0169ng s\u1ebd t\u0103ng cao, khi\u1ebfn t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 b\u1ecb h\u00e3m phanh l\u1ea1i. T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi b\u1ecb li\u00ean l\u1ee5y.<\/p>\n

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H\u00ecnh \u1ea3nh minh h\u1ecda. Ngu\u1ed3n: USA Today.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

V\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 nan gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh<\/b><\/p>\n

Th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u0169ng \u0111i k\u00e8m v\u1edbi nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro l\u1edbn v\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p v\u1edbi chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, theo \u00f4ng Michael Hirson, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u nh\u00f3m ph\u1ee5 tr\u00e1ch v\u1ec1 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u1ee7a Eurasia Group. Tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e2y \u00f4ng Hirson t\u1eebng l\u00e0 tr\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/p>\n

“[Hai n\u01b0\u1edbc] r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng \u0111\u00e3 ch\u00ecm trong v\u00f2ng xo\u00e1y tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a leo thang”, <\/i>\u00f4ng Hirson n\u00f3i. “Tuy nhi\u00ean t\u00f4i cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u01a1 ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh trong cu\u1ed9c th\u01b0\u01a1ng chi\u1ebfn \u1edf th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m hi\u1ec7n t\u1ea1i l\u00e0 ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb \u00f4ng Trump”. <\/i><\/p>\n

N\u1ebfu n\u00f3i nh\u01b0 v\u1eady, th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 ph\u1ea3n t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng. N\u1ebfu B\u1eafc Kinh b\u00e1n th\u00e1o l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9, th\u00ec s\u1ed1 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i trong tay h\u1ecd c\u0169ng s\u1ebd g\u1eb7p nguy.\u00a0<\/p>\n

Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n gi\u1eef m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1eef gi\u00e1 cho \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c ki\u1ec3m so\u00e1t vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ed3ng Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 t\u0103ng\/h\u1ea1 gi\u00e1 trong nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng t\u1edbi, nh\u1eb1m gi\u1ea3m b\u1edbt m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 \u00e1p l\u1ef1c \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf qu\u1ed1c n\u1ed9i m\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng m\u1ea5t \u0111i ti\u1ec1n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i.<\/p>\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 c\u00f2n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c t\u1edbi n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c trong vi\u1ec7c thu h\u00fat v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1ed1n v\u00e0 tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu.<\/p>\n

“[Trung Qu\u1ed1c] v\u1eabn c\u1ea7n d\u00f2ng l\u01b0u \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u1ed1n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i \u0111\u1ec3 b\u1ea3o v\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh trong cu\u1ed9c th\u01b0\u01a1ng chi\u1ebfn”,<\/i> \u00f4ng Hirson b\u00ecnh lu\u1eadn. “N\u1ebfu Trung Qu\u1ed1c bi\u1ebfn tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 th\u00e0nh v\u0169 kh\u00ed, th\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd l\u00e0 h\u1ed3i chu\u00f4ng b\u00e1o \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u [khi\u1ebfn h\u1ecd r\u00fat v\u1ed1n kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c]”.<\/i><\/p>\n

M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng nh\u01b0 l\u1eddi \u0111\u1ed3n?<\/b><\/p>\n

B\u00ean c\u1ea1nh nh\u1eefng nghi ng\u1ea1i, nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi v\u1eabn c\u00f2n ho\u00e0i nghi v\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a chi\u00eau b\u00e0i b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu. Chuy\u00ean gia Setser cho bi\u1ebft \u00f4ng kh\u00e1 nghi ng\u1edd v\u1ec1 \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3.<\/p>\n

“Khi n\u00f3 b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u c\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c t\u1edbi M\u1ef9, th\u00ec C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng”, <\/i>\u00f4ng Setser n\u00f3i.<\/p>\n

Trong b\u1ea3n b\u00e1o c\u00e1o tr\u00ecnh Qu\u1ed1c h\u1ed9i M\u1ef9 n\u0103m 2012, B\u1ed9 Qu\u1ed1c ph\u00f2ng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u00e3 n\u00eau r\u00f5 r\u1eb1ng C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang “ho\u00e0n to\u00e0n c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng” mua v\u00e0o l\u01b0\u1ee3ng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu b\u1ecb Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u01a1m ra th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u1eb1m h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf thi\u1ec7t h\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

H\u01a1n n\u1eefa, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 c\u00f2n r\u1ea5t \u00edt l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn thay th\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 b\u00f9 \u0111\u1eafp kho\u1ea3ng tr\u1ed1ng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong kho\u1ea3n d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i 3.100 t\u1ec9 USD. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn \u0110\u1ee9c v\u00e0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n, nh\u01b0ng tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a hai qu\u1ed1c gia n\u00e0y h\u1ea7u nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 l\u00e3i. L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 1,63%\/10 n\u0103m c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t -0,59% c\u1ee7a \u0110\u1ee9c.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea5t nhi\u00ean, l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n n\u00e0y v\u1eabn n\u1eb1m tr\u00ean b\u00e0n. Nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c, th\u00ec vi\u1ec7c b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn l\u00e0 l\u1ee3i b\u1ea5t c\u1eadp h\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] M\u1ed9t tu\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00f4i qua k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9- Trung Qu\u1ed1c “t\u0103ng nhi\u1ec7t” tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i. 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