{"id":3902,"date":"2019-08-07T11:15:24","date_gmt":"2019-08-07T08:15:24","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/su-that-phu-phang-la-my-co-rat-it-cong-cu-de-khien-dong-usd-yeu-di-nhu-trung-quoc\/"},"modified":"2019-08-07T11:15:25","modified_gmt":"2019-08-07T08:15:25","slug":"su-that-phu-phang-la-my-co-rat-it-cong-cu-de-khien-dong-usd-yeu-di-nhu-trung-quoc","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/su-that-phu-phang-la-my-co-rat-it-cong-cu-de-khien-dong-usd-yeu-di-nhu-trung-quoc\/","title":{"rendered":"S\u1ef1 th\u1eadt ph\u0169 ph\u00e0ng l\u00e0 M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t \u00edt c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 \u0111\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng USD y\u1ebfu \u0111i nh\u01b0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u0110\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2018, tr\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1eefng v\u1ecb gi\u00e1m \u0111\u1ed1c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh v\u00e0 ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb gia \u1edf Davos, Steven Mnuchin – B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a m\u00ecnh v\u00e0o r\u1eafc r\u1ed1i khi ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u \u0111i\u1ec1u hi\u1ec3n nhi\u00ean: m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng USD y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n s\u1ebd gi\u00fap \u00edch cho c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Mnuchin \u0111\u00e3 n\u00f3i v\u1ec1 s\u1ef1 ho\u00e0i nghi c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111i\u1ec1u h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a c\u1ea3 2 \u0111\u1ea3ng trong h\u01a1n 2 th\u1eadp k\u1ef7, c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 khi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng mu\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh h\u01a1n th\u00ec B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh n\u00ean “ra m\u1eb7t”. B\u1edfi v\u1eady, c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 c\u00e1c B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh ti\u1ec1n nhi\u1ec7m, \u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0m r\u00f5, x\u00e1c minh v\u1ec1 cam k\u1ebft c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

H\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Hai, cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng th\u00ec \u00f4ng Mnuchin c\u0169ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch tho\u1ea3i m\u00e1i, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf c\u1ea1nh tranh kh\u00f4ng c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng, c\u00f3 ngh\u0129a l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 qu\u00e1 cao so v\u1edbi NDT. B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 hi\u1ec7n gi\u1edd kh\u00f4ng c\u00f2n b\u1ecb r\u00e0ng bu\u1ed9c b\u1edfi nh\u1eefng quy t\u1eafc b\u1eb1ng l\u1eddi v\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch cho m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng USD m\u1ea1nh.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c\u00a0ngay l\u1eadp t\u1ee9c l\u00e0m r\u00f5 v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd. \u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c t\u1eeb T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump v\u00e0 B\u1ed9 tr\u01b0\u1edfng b\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3. M\u1ecdi th\u1ee9 s\u1ebd tr\u1edf n\u00ean kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi b\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh khi gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 n\u00e0y n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 tr\u1ee3 gi\u00fap t\u1eeb C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang (Fed) v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng kh\u00e1c tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

B\u1eb1ng nhi\u1ec1u l\u1eddi n\u00f3i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng “c\u1ea5p \u0111\u1ed9” kh\u00e1c nhau k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi nh\u1eadm ch\u1ee9c, \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 th\u00fac gi\u1ee5c \u00f4ng Mnuchin v\u00e0 Robert Lighthizer – \u0111\u1ea1i di\u1ec7n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, ph\u1ea3i m\u1ea1nh tay h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 h\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi NDT. G\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, \u00f4ng c\u0169ng b\u00e0y t\u1ecf s\u1ef1 th\u1ea5t v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD.<\/p>\n

Tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 d\u00e1n nh\u00e3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra sau khi B\u1eafc Kinh cho ph\u00e9p \u0111\u1ed3ng NDT tr\u01b0\u1ee3t xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng 7 \u0111\u1ed5i 1 USD. Brad Setser, m\u1ed9t quan ch\u1ee9c B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi \u00f4ng Obama v\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n l\u00e0 th\u00e0nh vi\u00ean c\u1ee7a H\u1ed9i \u0111\u1ed3ng Quan h\u1ec7 \u0110\u1ed1i ngo\u1ea1i, \u0111\u00e3 g\u1ecdi \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t “s\u1ef1 leo thang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c khuy\u1ebfch \u0111\u1ea1i tr\u00ean di\u1ec7n r\u1ed9ng”. \u0110i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 cho th\u1ea5y kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng \u0111\u1ea9y m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn l\u00ean cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

Chuck Schummer, ng\u01b0\u1eddi \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea3ng D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 t\u1ea1i Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng vi\u1ec7n do \u0111\u1ea3ng C\u1ed9ng ho\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o, \u0111\u00e3 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed3ng NDT v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 Hai. Th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 Elizabeth Warren – \u1ee9ng vi\u00ean \u0111\u1ea3ng D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 ch\u1ea1y \u0111ua cho chi\u1ebfc gh\u1ebf T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng, \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a ra l\u1eddi h\u1ee9a v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed3ng USD y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n trong chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a b\u00e0. Nh\u01b0ng chi\u1ebfn d\u1ecbch c\u1ee7a b\u00e0 Warren kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 n\u00eau c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 lo\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 n\u00e0o s\u1ebd gi\u00fap l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD. V\u00e0 \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y th\u1ec3 hi\u1ec7n m\u1ed9t v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1: kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 h\u1eefu hi\u1ec7u n\u00e0o!<\/b><\/p>\n

\u00d4ng Setser nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: “\u0110\u1ed3ng USD \u0111ang \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u1ecbnh gi\u00e1 qu\u00e1 cao, b\u1edfi M\u1ef9 l\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n duy nh\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n nay c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng cho ph\u00e9p m\u1ee9c l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t cao h\u01a1n 0 \u0111\u00e1ng k\u1ec3.”<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u1ed3ng USD theo tr\u1ecdng s\u1ed1 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (broad real trade-weighted dollar) – m\u1ed9t ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a Fed theo d\u00f5i gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD so v\u1edbi ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed1i t\u00e1c th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i, \u0111\u00e3 t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n v\u00e0o cu\u1ed1i n\u0103m 2014 v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u n\u0103m 2015, khi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Trung \u01b0\u01a1ng ch\u00e2u \u00c2u (ECB) v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n (BOJ) n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 trong khi Fed th\u00ec \u0111i ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i v\u1edbi con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng \u1ea5y. Sau khi ch\u1ea1m \u0111\u1ec9nh v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 12\/2016 th\u00ec ch\u1ec9 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0y v\u1eabn \u1ed5n \u0111\u1ecbnh \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao.<\/p>\n

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N\u1ebfu Nh\u00e0 Tr\u1eafng, B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u01b0\u1ee3ng ngh\u1ecb s\u0129 \u0111\u1ea3ng D\u00e2n ch\u1ee7 mu\u1ed1n t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u00ean \u0111\u1ed3ng USD, th\u00ec h\u1ecd s\u1ebd c\u1ea7n s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a Fed – c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0m \u0111\u1ed3ng USD y\u1ebfu \u0111i b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t h\u01a1n. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, \u0111\u1ed3ng USD \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng tu\u00e2n theo \u00fd mu\u1ed1n n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Fed. Sau khi quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc th\u00ec gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb \u0111\u1ed3ng USD so v\u1edbi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 kh\u00e1c l\u1ea1i t\u0103ng v\u1ecdt l\u00ean m\u1ee9c cao nh\u1ea5t trong v\u00f2ng 2 n\u0103m. \u0110\u00e0 t\u0103ng c\u1ee7a \u0111\u1ed3ng USD ti\u1ebfp t\u1ee5c di\u1ec5n ra khi c\u00e1c ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u (ho\u1eb7c ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u) n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 khi l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 \u1edf ho\u1eb7c g\u1ea7n s\u00e1t m\u1ee9c 0.<\/p>\n

Fred Bergsten, c\u1ef1u quan ch\u1ee9c B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh, l\u1eadp lu\u1eadn r\u1eb1ng c\u01a1 quan n\u00e0y c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n vi\u1ec7c mua v\u00e0o c\u00f3 m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed3ng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ec3 n\u00e2ng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb c\u1ee7a ch\u00fang. \u00d4ng g\u1ecdi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch “can thi\u1ec7p ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed1i kh\u00e1ng tr\u1ef1c ti\u1ebfp” v\u00e0 n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng “r\u0103n \u0111e ki\u1ec3u h\u1ea1t nh\u00e2n” – m\u1ed9t m\u1ed1i de do\u1ea1 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c ng\u0103n c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia kh\u00e1c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ec3 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p n\u00e0y hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3, c\u00f4ng c\u1ee5 r\u0103n \u0111e c\u1ee7a Bergsten s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 h\u01a1n so v\u1edbi vi\u1ec7c \u0111i thuy\u1ebft ph\u1ee5c – \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 tuy\u00ean truy\u1ec1n t\u1ed1t h\u01a1n, l\u00e0m r\u00f5 nh\u1eefng \u00fd t\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. Cho \u0111\u1ebfn nay, s\u1ef1 nh\u1ea5t qu\u00e1n m\u00e0 \u00f4ng Bergsten khuy\u1ebfn ngh\u1ecb v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n. Th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 hi\u1ec3u r\u1eb1ng ch\u1ec9 b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng d\u00f2ng chia s\u1ebb tr\u00ean Twitter th\u00ec v\u1eabn ch\u01b0a th\u1ec3 b\u00e1o hi\u1ec7u cho s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i n\u00e0o trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n

Barry Eichengreen, gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc California, cho hay: “Nh\u1eefng tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u01b0a ra li\u00ean ti\u1ebfp d\u01b0\u1eddng nh\u01b0 ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 t\u00e1c d\u1ee5ng nh\u1ea5t th\u1eddi n\u1ebfu kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf trong ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch. T\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1, s\u1ef1 can thi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i, \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng nh\u1eefng ngu\u1ed3n l\u1ef1c c\u1ee7a Qu\u1ef9 \u1ed4n \u0111\u1ecbnh H\u1ed1i \u0111o\u00e1i. Nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i n\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u1ed7 tr\u1ee3 b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u00e1c ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch kh\u00e1c b\u00ean c\u1ea1nh Fed.”<\/p>\n

Michael Bordo, m\u1ed9t nh\u00e0 s\u1eed h\u1ecdc ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 l\u00e0 gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 kinh t\u1ebf t\u1ea1i \u0110\u1ea1i h\u1ecdc Rutgers \u1edf New Jersey, b\u0103n kho\u0103n r\u1eb1ng \u00a0Washington \u0111ang c\u1ed1 g\u1eafng gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 g\u00ec. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i: “L\u00fd do khi\u1ebfn \u0111\u1ed3ng USD kh\u00f4ng y\u1ebfu \u0111i l\u00e0 v\u00ec \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 n\u01a1i tr\u00fa \u1ea9n an to\u00e0n v\u00e0 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u1eabn n\u1eafm gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ed3ng USD trong th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m t\u00ecnh h\u00ecnh tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111ang b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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