{"id":3866,"date":"2019-08-06T17:53:42","date_gmt":"2019-08-06T14:53:42","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/nhan-dan-te-va-usd-bi-keo-vao-cuoc-choi-chien-tranh-thuong-mai-gio-ra-sao\/"},"modified":"2019-08-06T17:53:44","modified_gmt":"2019-08-06T14:53:44","slug":"nhan-dan-te-va-usd-bi-keo-vao-cuoc-choi-chien-tranh-thuong-mai-gio-ra-sao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/nhan-dan-te-va-usd-bi-keo-vao-cuoc-choi-chien-tranh-thuong-mai-gio-ra-sao\/","title":{"rendered":"Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 v\u00e0 USD b\u1ecb k\u00e9o v\u00e0o cu\u1ed9c ch\u01a1i, chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1edd ra sao?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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L\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong 15 n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y, B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eafn m\u00e1c “thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7” cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd l\u00e0m cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u0111\u00e8 n\u1eb7ng l\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u tr\u1edf n\u00ean tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n

M\u1ef9 h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng nh\u01b0 v\u1eady sau khi Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho ph\u00e9p \u0111\u1ed3ng nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 xu\u1ed1ng d\u01b0\u1edbi 7 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed5i 1 USD \u2013 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng m\u00e0 nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u00e0 nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 coi l\u00e0 r\u1ea5t quan tr\u1ecdng. V\u1ec1 ph\u1ea7n m\u00ecnh, T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump g\u1ecdi \u0111\u00e0 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 c\u1ee7a nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 l\u00e0 “m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 vi ph\u1ea1m l\u1edbn”.<\/p>\n

M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a B\u1eafc Kinh r\u00f5 r\u00e0ng l\u00e0 \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a l\u1eddi \u0111e d\u1ecda \u00e1p th\u00eam thu\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump. Cu\u1ed1i tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc Trump v\u1eeba th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o s\u1ebd \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf 10% \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c t\u1eeb ng\u00e0y 1\/9 t\u1edbi. N\u1ebfu \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c, m\u1ecdi h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a m\u00e0 trung Qu\u1ed1c xu\u1ea5t sang M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ec1u b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Su\u1ed1t 1 n\u0103m qua, M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u2013 \u0111\u00e3 b\u1ecb sa l\u1ea7y trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i m\u00e0 gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e3 lan sang c\u1ea3 l\u0129nh v\u1ef1c c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 v\u00e0 m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. L\u1eddi \u0111e d\u1ecda \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra ch\u1ec9 ch\u01b0a \u0111\u1ea7y 1 th\u00e1ng sau khi hai b\u00ean nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ed kh\u1edfi \u0111\u1ed9ng l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn 1 th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn m\u00e0 gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho l\u00e0 ng\u00e0y c\u00e0ng kh\u00f3 tr\u1edf th\u00e0nh hi\u1ec7n th\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

T\u1ea1i sao s\u1ed1 7 l\u1ea1i quan tr\u1ecdng?<\/b><\/p>\n

So v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn kh\u00e1c th\u00ec Trung Qu\u1ed1c qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 kh\u00e1 ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd. Tuy nhi\u00ean trong m\u1ea5y n\u0103m g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y, c\u00e1c quy \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ph\u1ea7n n\u00e0o m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 PBOC ch\u1ec9 cho ph\u00e9p nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 dao \u0111\u1ed9ng trong bi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed9 2% quanh t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 tham chi\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y. PBOC c\u0169ng s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng can thi\u1ec7p v\u00e0o th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 \u1edf m\u1ee9c mong mu\u1ed1n.<\/p>\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb kh\u1ee7ng ho\u1ea3ng t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh 2008 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u01b0a bao gi\u1edd \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 \u1edf m\u1ee9c y\u1ebfu h\u01a1n 7 t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed5i 1 USD. T\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m, v\u00ed d\u1ee5 nh\u01b0 2016, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u1ed1t ch\u00e1y m\u1ed9t l\u01b0\u1ee3ng l\u1edbn d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i \u0111\u1ec3 ng\u0103n kh\u00f4ng cho nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 xuy\u00ean th\u1ee7ng ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng quan tr\u1ecdng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do t\u1ea1i sao th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng l\u00e2u nay v\u1eabn coi m\u1ed1c 7 l\u00e0 1 ng\u01b0\u1ee1ng t\u00e2m l\u00fd quan tr\u1ecdng. Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 v\u01b0\u1ee3t qua m\u1ed1c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n l\u1edbn m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n b\u1edfi v\u00ec nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng bi\u1ebft PBOC s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ec3 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1ebfn \u0111\u00e2u, do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 h\u1ecd s\u1ebd b\u00e1n th\u00e1o c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m l\u1ed7, v\u00e0 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn d\u00f2ng v\u1ed1n th\u00e1o ch\u1ea1y kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

\u0110\u1ebfn h\u00f4m nay, PBOC thi\u1ebft l\u1eadp t\u1ef7 gi\u00e1 tham chi\u1ebfu \u1edf tr\u00ean m\u1ee9c 7 nh\u01b0ng v\u1eabn cho ph\u00e9p nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng 7,1 t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ed5i 1 USD n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 gi\u1ea3m k\u1ecbch s\u00e0n.<\/p>\n

Ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c th\u00ec “thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7” l\u00e0 g\u00ec?<\/b><\/p>\n

T\u1eeb nhi\u1ec1u n\u0103m nay M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn bu\u1ed9c t\u1ed9i B\u1eafc Kinh \u0111\u00e3 gi\u1eef \u0111\u1ed3ng n\u1ed9i t\u1ec7 y\u1ebfu m\u1ed9t c\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3 t\u1ea1o nh\u1eb1m t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u. Nh\u01b0ng l\u1ea7n cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1ecb g\u1eafn m\u00e1c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 l\u00e0 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 1994, d\u01b0\u1edbi th\u1eddi Bill Clinton.<\/p>\n

K\u1ec3 t\u1eeb \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ebfn nay Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1eabn tho\u00e1t kh\u1ecfi m\u00e1c n\u00e0y d\u00f9 th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean n\u1eb1m trong danh s\u00e1ch theo d\u00f5i c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9. Danh s\u00e1ch n\u00e0y bao g\u1ed3m nh\u1eefng qu\u1ed1c gia m\u00e0 M\u1ef9 cho l\u00e0 c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i gi\u00e1m s\u00e1t ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd v\u00ec c\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng s\u1ebd thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u1ea1o l\u1ee3i th\u1ebf kh\u00f4ng c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng.<\/p>\n

Trong k\u1ef3 review m\u1edbi nh\u1ea5t h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5, Trung Qu\u1ed1c ch\u1ec9 m\u1eafc ph\u1ea3i 1 trong s\u1ed1 3 ti\u00eau ch\u00ed m\u00e0 \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt v\u1ec1 Thu\u1eadn l\u1ee3i v\u00e0 Th\u1ef1c thi Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i n\u0103m 2015 (Trade Facilitation and Trade Enforcement Act of 2015, TFTEA) c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ecbnh ngh\u0129a v\u1ec1 1 qu\u1ed1c gia thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 c\u00f3 th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i song ph\u01b0\u01a1ng “r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn, k\u00e9o d\u00e0i v\u00e0 \u0111ang gia t\u0103ng” v\u1edbi M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Tuy nhi\u00ean h\u00f4m qua M\u1ef9 l\u1ea1i g\u1eafn m\u00e1c thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c theo m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt kh\u00e1c c\u0169 h\u01a1n: \u0110\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt v\u1ec1 Ngo\u1ea1i th\u01b0\u01a1ng v\u00e0 c\u1ea1nh tranh n\u0103m 1988. Theo \u0111\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt n\u00e0y, M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c ho\u1eb7c mang v\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c l\u00ean Qu\u1ef9 ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7 qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf IMF.<\/p>\n

V\u00e0 theo \u0111\u1ea1o lu\u1eadt n\u00e0y M\u1ef9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t nh\u01b0: c\u1ea5m Qu\u1ef9 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 t\u01b0 nh\u00e2n n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i OPIC (m\u1ed9t c\u01a1 quan tr\u1ef1c thu\u1ed9c ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 chuy\u00ean \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 v\u00e0o c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n) t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 v\u1ed1n cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c hay lo\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c ra kh\u1ecfi c\u00e1c h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng mua b\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Tr\u00ean th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf, Trung Qu\u1ed1c kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 nh\u00e0 th\u1ea7u l\u1edbn trong c\u00e1c h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng mua b\u00e1n c\u1ee7a Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 c\u0169ng kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eadn nhi\u1ec1u v\u1ed1n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 c\u1ee7a OPIC. Do \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i g\u1eafn m\u00e1c “thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7” l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y mang t\u00ednh bi\u1ec3u t\u01b0\u1ee3ng nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n, theo nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u1ee7a Goldman Sachs.<\/p>\n

Chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i n\u00f3ng h\u01a1n bao gi\u1edd h\u1ebft<\/b><\/p>\n

D\u1eabu v\u1eady, tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 khi\u1ebfn c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh leo l\u00ean 1 n\u1ea5c thang m\u1edbi. Citi Research d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 25% (ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i 10%) v\u00e0o 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c ngay trong th\u00e1ng sau. Hi\u1ec7n M\u1ef9 v\u1eabn \u0111ang \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 25% l\u00ean 250 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u00e1p tr\u1ea3 t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1.<\/p>\n

L\u01b0\u1ee3ng h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a m\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u1eadp v\u1ec1 \u00edt h\u01a1n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng xu\u1ea5t sang M\u1ef9, do \u0111\u00f3 h\u1ecd c\u00f3 \u00edt l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn h\u01a1n khi \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf b\u1ed5 sung. Do \u0111\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 chuy\u00ean gia cho r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1ch b\u00e1n th\u00e1o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu M\u1ef9, nh\u01b0ng \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn kh\u00f4n ngoan v\u00ec l\u00e0m nh\u01b0 v\u1eady th\u00ec B\u1eafc Kinh c\u0169ng s\u1ebd b\u1ecb t\u1ed5n h\u1ea1i.<\/p>\n

V\u00ec th\u1ebf c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd t\u1eadp trung v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p r\u1ed9ng h\u01a1n \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u1ea3m thi\u1ec3u t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng c\u1ee7a thu\u1ebf quan, v\u00e0 nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 gi\u1ea3m gi\u00e1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong s\u1ed1 \u0111\u00f3. Nh\u00e2n d\u00e2n t\u1ec7 y\u1ebfu \u0111i s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c r\u1ebb \u0111i khi xu\u1ea5t sang n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c. H\u01a1n n\u1eefa \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i n\u00e0y c\u0169ng s\u1ebd khi\u1ebfn USD m\u1ea1nh l\u00ean \u2013 \u0111i\u1ec1u m\u00e0 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng Trump kh\u00f4ng h\u1ec1 th\u00edch.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] L\u1ea7n \u0111\u1ea7u ti\u00ean trong 15 n\u0103m tr\u1edf l\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e2y, B\u1ed9 T\u00e0i ch\u00ednh M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eafn m\u00e1c “thao t\u00fang ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7” cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u2013 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn s\u1ebd l\u00e0m cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111ang \u0111\u00e8 n\u1eb7ng l\u00ean kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u tr\u1edf n\u00ean tr\u1ea7m tr\u1ecdng h\u01a1n. 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