{"id":2262,"date":"2019-06-29T04:41:51","date_gmt":"2019-06-29T01:41:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/my-va-trung-quoc-se-thao-luan-nhung-van-de-gi-tai-hoi-nghi-g20\/"},"modified":"2019-06-29T04:41:52","modified_gmt":"2019-06-29T01:41:52","slug":"my-va-trung-quoc-se-thao-luan-nhung-van-de-gi-tai-hoi-nghi-g20","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/my-va-trung-quoc-se-thao-luan-nhung-van-de-gi-tai-hoi-nghi-g20\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn nh\u1eefng v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 g\u00ec t\u1ea1i H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb G20?"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u1ee7a hai n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi d\u1ef1 ki\u1ebfn s\u1ebd th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 m\u1ed9t lo\u1ea1t c\u00e1c v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o l\u00fac 11 gi\u1edd 30 (gi\u1edd \u0111\u1ecba ph\u01b0\u01a1ng) b\u00ean l\u1ec1 H\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb G20 \u1edf Osaka. Tuy nhi\u00ean, th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i s\u1ebd l\u00e0 \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u c\u1ee7a ch\u01b0\u01a1ng tr\u00ecnh ngh\u1ecb s\u1ef1. Cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n c\u1ee7a hai b\u00ean kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eefng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 “v\u1ebd” n\u00ean t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n cho m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 M\u1ef9 – Trung, m\u00e0 c\u00f2n t\u1ea1o ra nh\u1eefng thay \u0111\u1ed5i r\u00f5 r\u1ec7t cho n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

Michael Hirson, \u0111\u1ee9ng \u0111\u1ea7u khu v\u1ef1c Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 \u0110\u00f4ng B\u1eafc \u00c1 t\u1ea1i c\u00f4ng ty t\u01b0 v\u1ea5n ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb Eurasia Group, nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: “R\u00f5 r\u00e0ng r\u1eb1ng, cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp g\u00e2y c\u1ea3m gi\u00e1c h\u1ed3i h\u1ed9p nh\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng v\u00e0 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 cu\u1ed9c g\u1eb7p gi\u1eefa \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 \u00f4ng T\u1eadp.”<\/p>\n

Nhi\u1ec1u chuy\u00ean gia d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n r\u1eb1ng hai nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng \u0111\u1ea9y chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i leo thang, nh\u01b0ng ch\u00ednh \u00f4ng Trump cho bi\u1ebft r\u1eb1ng \u00f4ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u00e1p m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf quan m\u1edbi v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c n\u1ebfu c\u00f3 \u0111i\u1ec1u g\u00ec khi\u1ebfn \u00f4ng kh\u00f4ng h\u00e0i l\u00f2ng v\u1edbi \u00f4ng T\u1eadp. M\u1eb7t kh\u00e1c, m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i \u00fd ki\u1ebfn c\u0169ng hy v\u1ecdng r\u1eb1ng cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp t\u1edbi s\u1ebd \u0111i \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ed9t tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n.<\/p>\n

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Theo Hirson, tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn ng\u1eebng b\u1eafn c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u0111\u01b0a ra nh\u01b0ng m\u1ed9t tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 th\u00ec c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng h\u01a1n. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i: “T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 l\u1ea1c quan sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp. Nh\u01b0ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 t\u00e2m l\u00fd k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng qu\u00e1 m\u1ee9c, b\u1edfi theo t\u00f4i ph\u00eda tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ebd l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng g\u1eadp gh\u1ec1nh.”<\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 Hirson l\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi duy nh\u1ea5t c\u00f3 k\u1ef3 v\u1ecdng kh\u00f4ng cao v\u1ec1 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp n\u00e0y. David Adelman, c\u1ef1u \u0111\u1ea1i s\u1ee9 M\u1ef9 t\u1ea1i Singapore, cho bi\u1ebft \u00f4ng d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 s\u1ebd t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 12 – khi hai nh\u00e0 l\u00e3nh \u0111\u1ea1o \u0111\u1ed3ng \u00fd t\u1ea1m th\u1eddi n\u00e2ng thu\u1ebf \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n n\u1ed7 l\u1ef1c gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft nh\u1eefng m\u00e2u thu\u1eabn. \u00d4ng cho hay: “T\u00f4i d\u1ef1 \u0111o\u00e1n \u0111\u00e2y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 2 c\u00e2u chuy\u1ec7n gi\u1ed1ng nhau, nh\u01b0ng cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y c\u00f3 ph\u1ea7n kh\u00f3 kh\u0103n h\u01a1n b\u1edfi r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u \u0111i\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 x\u1ea3y ra v\u00e0o nh\u1eefng th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc.”<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 nhi\u1ec1u \u00fd ki\u1ebfn cho r\u1eb1ng kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng t\u1ea1m ng\u1eebng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng s\u1ebd di\u1ec5n ra, nh\u01b0ng c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia cho bi\u1ebft kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng \u00f4ng Trump s\u1ebd c\u00f2n c\u00f3 \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i \u0111e do\u1ea1 m\u1ea1nh m\u1ebd h\u01a1n. Hirson cho hay: “T\u00f4i ngh\u0129 r\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd th\u1ea5y M\u1ef9 c\u1ee9ng r\u1eafn h\u01a1n v\u1edbi 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng ho\u00e1 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i ch\u01b0a b\u1ecb \u00e1p thu\u1ebf.” \u00d4ng c\u00f2n nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, vi\u1ec7c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf b\u1ed5 sung c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 nguy\u00ean nh\u00e2n \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Huawei<\/b><\/p>\n

Ngo\u00e0i thu\u1ebf quan, ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng bi\u1ec7n ph\u00e1p tr\u1eebng ph\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u00e1ng ch\u00fa \u00fd l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Huawei tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u “m\u1eb7t tr\u1eadn”. Nhi\u1ec1u th\u00f4ng tin cho th\u1ea5y \u00f4ng T\u1eadp s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0a Huawei v\u00e0o b\u1ea5t k\u1ef3 tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn n\u00e0o v\u1edbi \u00f4ng Trump. Theo ngu\u1ed3n tin th\u00e2n c\u1eadn, Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho r\u1eb1ng tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn m\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ea1i G20 c\u1ea7n c\u00f3 s\u1ef1 c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng v\u00e0 2 ngu\u1ed3n tin cho bi\u1ebft Huawei l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 \u01b0u ti\u00ean h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u cho cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp.<\/p>\n

\u1ede di\u1ec5n bi\u1ebfn c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y nh\u1ea5t li\u00ean quan \u0111\u1ebfn vi\u1ec7c ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Huawei, ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 \u0111\u01b0a Huawei v\u00e0o danh s\u00e1ch \u0111en “Entity List” v\u1edbi l\u00fd do lo ng\u1ea1i v\u1ec1 an ninh qu\u1ed1c gia v\u00e0 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng minh th\u1ef1c hi\u1ec7n \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1. C\u00f9ng v\u1edbi \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 v\u1ee5 vi\u1ec7c b\u1eaft gi\u1eef CFO M\u1ea1nh V\u00e3n Chu.<\/p>\n

Hirson nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh: “\u0110\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 v\u1edbi Huawei \u0111\u00e3 th\u1ef1c s\u1ef1 khi\u1ebfn B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 suy ngh\u0129 r\u1eb1ng M\u1ef9 s\u1ebd ng\u0103n ch\u1eb7n Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t l\u00e0 k\u00ecm h\u00e3m nh\u1eefng tham v\u1ecdng v\u1ec1 c\u00f4ng ngh\u1ec7 c\u1ee7a h\u1ecd.”<\/p>\n

H\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 c\u1ee7a chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i<\/b><\/p>\n

Cu\u1ed9c g\u1eb7p gi\u1eefa \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 \u00f4ng T\u1eadp l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n mang \u00fd ngh\u0129a to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u, do cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu r\u1ee7i ro v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng c\u1ee7a nhi\u1ec1u doanh nghi\u1ec7p qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng th\u01b0 k\u00fd OECD Jose Angel Gurria ph\u00e1t bi\u1ec3u v\u1edbi CNBC r\u1eb1ng n\u1ebfu c\u00e1c cu\u1ed9c \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n gi\u1eefa \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 \u00f4ng T\u1eadp th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i, n\u00f3 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng “t\u00e0n ph\u00e1” c\u1ef1c k\u1ef3 m\u1ea1nh. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam, s\u1ef1 th\u1ea5t b\u1ea1i \u1ea5y s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn m\u1ecdi n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf tr\u00ean th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi, b\u1edfi M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 m\u1ed1i quan h\u1ec7 r\u1ed9ng l\u1edbn v\u1edbi ph\u1ea7n c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i c\u1ee7a th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi. C\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh kh\u1ecfi nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c.<\/p>\n

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\"M\u1ef9<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Trong th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y, IMF \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c \u0111\u1ec1 xu\u1ea5t v\u00e0 \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng thu\u1ebf quan c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m 0,6% s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>\n

D\u00f9 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd x\u1ea3y ra kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng “kh\u00f4ng tho\u1ea3 thu\u1eadn”, th\u00ec Charles Freeman – ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch c\u1ea5p cao v\u1ec1 ch\u00e2u \u00c1 t\u1ea1i Ph\u00f2ng Th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9, cho bi\u1ebft c\u00f3 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 b\u1eb1ng ch\u1ee9ng v\u1ec1 c\u00e1o bu\u1ed9c c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi h\u00e0nh vi kh\u00f4ng c\u00f4ng b\u1eb1ng t\u1eeb B\u1eafc Kinh. \u00d4ng n\u00f3i th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng quan \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0y n\u1eb1m \u1edf c\u00e1ch ch\u00ednh quy\u1ec1n \u0111ang l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn c\u00e1ch gi\u1ea3i quy\u1ebft nh\u1eefng \u0111i\u1ec3m kh\u00f4ng h\u1ee3p l\u00fd. \u00d4ng cho bi\u1ebft vi\u1ec7c \u00e1p thu\u1ebf quan kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 g\u00e2y ra nh\u1eefng t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c ng\u1eafn h\u1ea1n m\u00e0 c\u00f2n l\u00e0 s\u1ef1 b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n cho c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p tr\u00ean to\u00e0n th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1ea1i Trung Qu\u1ed1c<\/b><\/p>\n

Kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu \u00e1p l\u1ef1c t\u1eeb cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i. Nhi\u1ec1u c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng \u0111ang ph\u1ea3i tr\u1ea3 gi\u00e1 cho nh\u1eefng c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh.<\/p>\n

H\u1ed3i \u0111\u1ea7u th\u00e1ng n\u00e0y, theo Wall Street Journal, Apple \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 \u0111ang c\u00e2n nh\u1eafc di d\u1eddi c\u01a1 s\u1edf l\u1eafp r\u00e1p ra kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u1ec3 tr\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf quan c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9. V\u00e0 Apple kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i l\u00e0 c\u00f4ng ty duy nh\u1ea5t suy ngh\u0129 v\u1ec1 vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

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\"M\u1ef9<\/div>\n<\/div>\n

Freeman cho bi\u1ebft, trong nhi\u1ec1u tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p, nh\u1eefng c\u00f4ng ty M\u1ef9 ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 chi qu\u00e1 nhi\u1ec1u \u0111\u1ec3 x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng chu\u1ed7i cung \u1ee9ng \u1edf Trung Qu\u1ed1c, v\u00e0 khi m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf 25% \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng th\u00ec h\u1ecd ph\u1ea3i t\u00ecm c\u00e1ch \u0111\u1ec3 qu\u1ea3n l\u00fd chu\u1ed7i n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Adelman nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh, vi\u1ec7c d\u1ecbch chuy\u1ec3n c\u01a1 s\u1edf s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t ra kh\u1ecfi Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd t\u1ea1o \u0111i\u1ec1u ki\u1ec7n cho m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0110\u00f4ng Nam \u00c1 v\u00e0 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 s\u1ea3n xu\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, nh\u01b0ng k\u1ebb thua cu\u1ed9c l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 danh ti\u1ebfng c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

\u00d4ng n\u00f3i “cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i k\u00e9o d\u00e0i” s\u1ebd \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00e2m l\u00fd c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi n\u01b0\u1edbc M\u1ef9. H\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 c\u1ea3m th\u1ea5y n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi l\u00e0 khu v\u1ef1c kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u00e1ng tin c\u1eady. M\u1ee5c ti\u00eau c\u1ee7a G20 l\u00e0 t\u1eadp h\u1ee3p c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t th\u1ebf gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ec3 nu\u00f4i d\u01b0\u1ee1ng truy\u1ec1n th\u1ed1ng x\u00e2y d\u1ef1ng v\u00e0 tr\u00e1nh suy tho\u00e1i kinh t\u1ebf to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u. Tuy nhi\u00ean, \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi Adelma, s\u1ef1 ki\u1ec7n l\u1ea7n n\u00e0y s\u1ebd l\u00e0 “G2 tr\u00ean nhi\u1ec1u ph\u01b0\u01a1ng di\u1ec7n”, b\u1edfi cu\u1ed9c g\u1eb7p gi\u1eefa \u00f4ng Trump v\u00e0 \u00f4ng T\u1eadp “\u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t h\u1ed9i ngh\u1ecb th\u01b0\u1ee3ng \u0111\u1ec9nh.”<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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