{"id":1632,"date":"2019-06-12T15:45:03","date_gmt":"2019-06-12T12:45:03","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/trung-quoc-va-nhung-khoan-no-ngam-co-the-khien-nhieu-nuoc-chao-dao\/"},"modified":"2019-06-12T15:45:05","modified_gmt":"2019-06-12T12:45:05","slug":"trung-quoc-va-nhung-khoan-no-ngam-co-the-khien-nhieu-nuoc-chao-dao","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/trung-quoc-va-nhung-khoan-no-ngam-co-the-khien-nhieu-nuoc-chao-dao\/","title":{"rendered":"Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 ng\u1ea7m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc chao \u0111\u1ea3o"},"content":{"rendered":"

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\u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Carmen Reinhart, gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 \u0110H Harvard \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u1edf Singapore. Theo b\u00e0, t\u00ednh ch\u1ea5t thi\u1ebfu minh b\u1ea1ch c\u1ee7a nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 n\u00e0y \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 \u0111ang xem x\u00e9t mua tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u00f3 vay n\u1ee3 Trung Qu\u1ed1c, \u0111\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u0169ng \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c qu\u1ed1c t\u1ebf nh\u01b0 IMF \u2013 \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n c\u00e1c g\u00f3i vay cho c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia.<\/p>\n

“S\u1ef1 n\u1ed5i l\u00ean c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u1edbi vai tr\u00f2 l\u00e0 ch\u1ee7 n\u1ee3 to\u00e0n c\u1ea7u c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 ng\u1ea7m thi\u1ebfu minh b\u1ea1ch. C\u00f3 nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00e3 vay ti\u1ec1n c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c nh\u01b0ng kho\u1ea3n vay \u0111\u00f3 l\u1ea1i kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c IMF hay World Bank bi\u1ebft \u0111\u1ebfn. Trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p \u0111\u00f3, nh\u1eefng n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c n\u1ee3 th\u1ea5p nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c ch\u1ea5t m\u1ee9c \u0111\u1ed9 n\u1ee3 l\u1ea1i cao h\u01a1n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u, do \u0111\u00f3 \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng \u0111\u1ebfn c\u00e1c ph\u00e2n t\u00edch v\u1ec1 t\u00ednh b\u1ec1n v\u1eefng n\u1ee3 v\u00e0 g\u00e2y ra nhi\u1ec1u r\u1ee7i ro”, b\u00e0 k\u1ebft lu\u1eadn.<\/p>\n

C\u00f2n \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0, th\u00f4ng tin thi\u1ebfu minh b\u1ea1ch khi\u1ebfn h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c khi mua v\u00e0o tr\u00e1i phi\u1ebfu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c ph\u00e1t h\u00e0nh b\u1edfi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Theo Reinhart, k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2011 \u0111\u1ebfn nay \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t hi\u1ec7n r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 nh\u01b0 v\u1eady. C\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc m\u00e0 b\u00e0 nh\u1eafc \u0111\u1ebfn bao g\u1ed3m Sri Lanka, Ukraine, Venezuela, Ecuador, Bangladesh v\u00e0 Cuba. B\u00e0 \u01b0\u1edbc t\u00ednh s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u n\u1ee3 ch\u00ednh th\u1ee9c \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c IMF v\u00e0 World Bank theo d\u00f5i ch\u1ec9 ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda t\u1ed5ng s\u1ed1 n\u1ee3 m\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y vay.<\/p>\n

C\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay n\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng khai, hai b\u00ean ng\u1ea7m th\u1ecfa thu\u1eadn v\u1edbi nhau v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng y\u00eau c\u1ea7u t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o b\u1eb1ng c\u00e1c t\u00e0i s\u1ea3n qu\u1ed1c doanh. M\u1ed9t v\u00ed d\u1ee5 l\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho Venezuela vay b\u1eb1ng nh\u1eefng th\u00f9ng d\u1ea7u.<\/p>\n

C\u1ea3 World Bank v\u00e0 IMF \u0111\u1ec1u \u0111\u00e3 k\u00eau g\u1ecdi Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia c\u1ea7n minh b\u1ea1ch h\u01a1n v\u1ec1 nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n vay n\u00e0y. Th\u00f4ng b\u00e1o c\u1ee7a World Bank nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 ng\u1ea7m kh\u00f4ng ch\u1ec9 l\u00e0 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 g\u00e2y r\u1eafc r\u1ed1i cho World Bank v\u00e0 IMF m\u00e0 c\u00f2n cho ch\u00ednh c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia vay n\u1ee3. Khi nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 n\u00e0y \u0111\u1ed9t ng\u1ed9t b\u1ecb phanh phui, ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn chi ph\u00ed \u0111i vay s\u1ebd t\u0103ng l\u00ean ho\u1eb7c th\u1eadm ch\u00ed trong tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p x\u1ea5u nh\u1ea5t c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb nh\u00e0 \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 xa l\u00e1nh.<\/p>\n

Theo Kaho Yu, chuy\u00ean gia ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cao c\u1ea5p t\u1ea1i Verisk Maplecroft, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 \u0111\u00fang l\u00e0 kho\u1ea3n vay t\u1eeb B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 gi\u00fap \u00edch cho c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n, s\u1ef1 m\u01a1 h\u1ed3, thi\u1ebfu minh b\u1ea1ch cu\u1ed1i c\u00f9ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn \u0111\u1ebfn t\u00ecnh tr\u1ea1ng k\u00e9o l\u00f9i t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf.<\/p>\n

Th\u1eddi gian g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y Trung Qu\u1ed1c b\u1ecb nhi\u1ec1u b\u00ean ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch l\u00e0 \u0111ang \u0111\u1ea9y nhi\u1ec1u n\u01b0\u1edbc v\u00e0o c\u1ea3nh n\u1ee3 n\u1ea7n th\u00f4ng qua s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 d\u00e0nh cho nhi\u1ec1u qu\u1ed1c gia tr\u1ea3i kh\u1eafp c\u00e1c khu v\u1ef1c t\u1eeb Trung \u00c1 \u0111\u1ebfn ch\u00e2u Phi v\u00e0 ch\u00e2u \u00c2u \u0111\u00e3 g\u1eb7p nhi\u1ec1u ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch. Yu b\u1ed5 sung th\u00eam r\u1eb1ng Trung Qu\u1ed1c th\u01b0\u1eddng cam k\u1ebft v\u1edbi c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111ang ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n r\u1eb1ng h\u1ecd c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1ec5 d\u00e0ng ho\u00e0n tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3 khi d\u1ef1 \u00e1n \u0111i v\u00e0o ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng, nh\u01b0ng th\u1ef1c t\u1ebf l\u00e0 kh\u00f4ng c\u00f3 g\u00ec c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea3m b\u1ea3o.<\/p>\n

T\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ecbnh ch\u1ebf t\u00e0i ch\u00ednh c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 r\u00f3t h\u01a1n 440 t\u1ef7 USD t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 cho c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n thu\u1ed9c s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng, theo chia s\u1ebb c\u1ee7a Th\u1ed1ng \u0111\u1ed1c NHTW Trung Qu\u1ed1c Yi Gang h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc. Ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn ngu\u1ed3n v\u1ed1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c gi\u1ea3i ng\u00e2n b\u1edfi 2 ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch l\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c v\u00e0 Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u Trung Qu\u1ed1c. H\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 4, Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Xu\u1ea5t nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u Trung Qu\u1ed1c cho bi\u1ebft h\u1ecd \u0111\u00e3 c\u1ea5p c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay tr\u1ecb gi\u00e1 149 t\u1ef7 USD cho h\u01a1n 1.800 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n, trong khi Ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng ph\u00e1t tri\u1ec3n Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 t\u00e0i tr\u1ee3 190 t\u1ef7 USD cho h\u01a1n 600 d\u1ef1 \u00e1n k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb n\u0103m 2013 \u0111\u1ebfn nay.<\/p>\n

N\u0103m 2017, Sri Lanka \u0111\u00e3 bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i chuy\u1ec3n giao m\u1ed9t c\u1ea3ng bi\u1ec3n mang t\u00ednh chi\u1ebfn l\u01b0\u1ee3c cho B\u1eafc Kinh, sau khi kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n n\u1ee3 \u0111\u00fang h\u1ea1n cho c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty Trung Qu\u1ed1c. \u0110\u00e2y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c coi l\u00e0 v\u00ed d\u1ee5 cho th\u1ea5y c\u00e1c qu\u1ed1c gia vay n\u1ee3 B\u1eafc Kinh c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 b\u1ecb bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i t\u1eeb b\u1ecf m\u1ed9t ph\u1ea7n l\u00e3nh th\u1ed5 ho\u1eb7c ph\u1ea3i nh\u01b0\u1ee3ng b\u1ed9 r\u1ea5t l\u1edbn n\u1ebfu nh\u01b0 kh\u00f4ng th\u1ec3 tr\u1ea3 n\u1ee3. Hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c g\u1ecdi l\u00e0 ngo\u1ea1i giao b\u1eaby n\u1ee3, m\u1eb7c d\u00f9 Ch\u00ednh ph\u1ee7 Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111\u00e3 kh\u1eb3ng \u0111\u1ecbnh h\u1ecd kh\u00f4ng \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng chi\u1ebfn thu\u1eadt n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

Gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh r\u1ee7i ro \u0111ang t\u0103ng l\u00ean \u2013 d\u00f9 l\u00e0 kinh t\u1ebf Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m t\u1ed1c hay c\u00e1c d\u1ef1 \u00e1n thu\u1ed9c s\u00e1ng ki\u1ebfn V\u00e0nh \u0111ai con \u0111\u01b0\u1eddng kh\u00f4ng thu\u1eadn bu\u1ed3m xu\u00f4i gi\u00f3, c\u00e1c kho\u1ea3n vay t\u1eeb Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng ch\u1eadm l\u1ea1i trong th\u1eddi gian t\u1edbi. C\u00e1n c\u00e2n v\u00e3ng lai th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 l\u1edbn gi\u00fap Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 l\u01b0\u1ee3ng d\u1ef1 tr\u1eef ngo\u1ea1i h\u1ed1i kh\u1ed5ng l\u1ed3 v\u00e0 s\u1ed1 USD \u0111\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng \u0111\u1ec3 cho n\u01b0\u1edbc ngo\u00e0i vay. Tuy nhi\u00ean gi\u1edd \u0111\u00e2y th\u1eb7ng d\u01b0 c\u00e1n c\u00e2n v\u00e3ng lai c\u1ee7a Trung Qu\u1ed1c \u0111ang nh\u1ecf l\u1ea1i, do \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0m gi\u1ea3m kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng cho vay b\u1eb1ng USD c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] \u0110\u00f3 l\u00e0 nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c Carmen Reinhart, gi\u00e1o s\u01b0 \u0110H Harvard \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u1ea1i m\u1ed9t di\u1ec5n \u0111\u00e0n \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 m\u1edbi \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u1ed5 ch\u1ee9c \u1edf Singapore. 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