<\/p>\n
Trong v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (FED) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc ba c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi: C\u00f3 h\u1ea1 kh\u00f4ng? N\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u00ec h\u1ea1 v\u00e0o l\u00fac n\u00e0o, v\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau?<\/p>\n
Theo h\u00e3ng tin Bloomberg, gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u x\u1ea5u h\u01a1n d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o v\u1ec1 th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng vi\u1ec7c l\u00e0m c\u1ee7a M\u1ef9 trong th\u00e1ng 5 \u0111\u00e3 l\u00e0m gia t\u0103ng m\u1ea1nh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng FED h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong n\u0103m nay. Kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng n\u00e0y gi\u1eef \u1edf m\u1ee9c cao cho d\u00f9 T\u1ed5ng th\u1ed1ng M\u1ef9 Donald Trump v\u00e0o h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u r\u00fat l\u1ea1i k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u00e1p thu\u1ebf l\u00ean h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Mexico sau khi c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0m ph\u00e1n hai n\u01b0\u1edbc nh\u1ea5t tr\u00ed m\u1ed9t k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch v\u1ec1 ng\u0103n d\u00f2ng ng\u01b0\u1eddi di c\u01b0 v\u01b0\u1ee3t bi\u00ean tr\u00e1i ph\u00e9p v\u00e0o M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n
Kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 y\u1ebfu \u0111i<\/b><\/p>\n
V\u1edbi c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi li\u1ec7u FED c\u00f3 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t hay kh\u00f4ng g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 \u0111\u00e3 c\u00f3 c\u00e2u tr\u1ea3 l\u1eddi, v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 c\u00f2n l\u1ea1i l\u00e0 FED s\u1ebd h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0o th\u1eddi \u0111i\u1ec3m n\u00e0o, v\u00e0 m\u1ee9c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m s\u1ebd l\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau. Th\u00f4ng th\u01b0\u1eddng, m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a FED l\u00e0 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m. Trong nh\u1eefng tr\u01b0\u1eddng h\u1ee3p c\u1ea7n “m\u1ea1nh tay”, m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 n\u1eeda \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m.<\/p>\n
B\u00e1o c\u00e1o th\u01b0\u1eddng k\u1ef3 c\u1ee7a B\u1ed9 Lao \u0111\u1ed9ng M\u1ef9 c\u00f4ng b\u1ed1 h\u00f4m th\u1ee9 S\u00e1u cho th\u1ea5y khu v\u1ef1c phi n\u00f4ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y ch\u1ec9 c\u00f3 th\u00eam 75.000 c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c m\u1edbi trong th\u00e1ng 5, \u00edt h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o 185.000 c\u00f4ng vi\u1ec7c m\u1edbi m\u00e0 gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u01b0a ra tr\u01b0\u1edbc \u0111\u00f3. D\u1eef li\u1ec7u n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c xem l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t d\u1ea5u hi\u1ec7u n\u1eefa cho th\u1ea5y ho\u1ea1t \u0111\u1ed9ng trong n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 \u0111ang m\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e0.<\/p>\n
Nh\u1eefng s\u1ed1 li\u1ec7u g\u1ea7n \u0111\u00e2y v\u1ec1 kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9, bao g\u1ed3m doanh thu b\u00e1n l\u1ebb, s\u1ea3n l\u01b0\u1ee3ng ng\u00e0nh ch\u1ebf bi\u1ebfn-ch\u1ebf t\u1ea1o, v\u00e0 chi mua s\u1eafm c\u1ee7a c\u00e1c h\u1ed9 gia \u0111\u00ecnh\u2026 \u0111\u1ec1u cho th\u1ea5y s\u1ef1 y\u1ebfu \u0111i trong b\u1ed1i c\u1ea3nh cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i leo thang v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n
M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 nh\u00e0 quan s\u00e1t d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o c\u00e1c quan ch\u1ee9c FED s\u1ebd b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u th\u1ea3o lu\u1eadn v\u1ec1 v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp di\u1ec5n ra v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 18-19\/6 nh\u01b0ng s\u1ebd ch\u01b0a \u0111\u01b0a ra t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 n\u00e0o trong l\u1ea7n h\u1ecdp n\u00e0y. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, FED \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 s\u1ebd ph\u00e1t t\u00edn hi\u1ec7u v\u1ec1 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t sau khi k\u1ebft th\u00fac cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp v\u00e0o ng\u00e0y 30-31\/7.<\/p>\n
T\u1eeb th\u00e1ng 1 \u0111\u1ebfn nay, c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1 sau cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp c\u1ee7a FED lu\u00f4n n\u00f3i s\u1ebd “ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn” trong v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7. Tuy nhi\u00ean, s\u1eafp t\u1edbi, ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng n\u00e0y \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c cho l\u00e0 s\u1ebd b\u1ecf \u0111i t\u1eeb “ki\u00ean nh\u1eabn” trong c\u00e1c tuy\u00ean b\u1ed1. Vi\u1ec7c n\u00e0y s\u1ebd t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 nh\u1eefng g\u00ec m\u00e0 Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch Powell n\u00f3i v\u00e0o tu\u1ea7n tr\u01b0\u1edbc, r\u1eb1ng FED \u0111ang “theo d\u00f5i ch\u1eb7t ch\u1ebd” n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf v\u00e0 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng “h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng ph\u00f9 h\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ec3 duy tr\u00ec t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng”.<\/p>\n
Chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf tr\u01b0\u1edfng v\u1ec1 M\u1ef9 c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng JPMorgan Chase, \u00f4ng Michael Feroli, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o FED s\u1ebd c\u00f3 hai l\u1ea7n h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong 2019, v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 9 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 12, v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m m\u1ed7i l\u1ea7n l\u00e0 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m.<\/p>\n
H\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ngay trong th\u00e1ng 7?<\/b><\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, c\u0169ng c\u00f3 nh\u1eefng \u00fd ki\u1ebfn cho r\u1eb1ng FED s\u1ebd h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t ngay trong cu\u1ed9c h\u1ecdp th\u00e1ng 7. H\u1ee3p \u0111\u1ed3ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t t\u01b0\u01a1ng lai \u1edf M\u1ef9 \u0111ang ph\u1ea3n \u00e1nh kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng g\u1ea7n nh\u01b0 ch\u1eafc ch\u1eafn FED h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng 7, v\u00e0 kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng 70% FED h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t sau \u0111\u00f3 trong n\u0103m 2019.<\/p>\n
B\u00e0 Julia Coronado, nh\u00e0 s\u00e1ng l\u1eadp MacroPolicy Perspectives, d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o FED s\u1ebd h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m m\u1ed7i \u0111\u1ee3t v\u00e0o th\u00e1ng 7 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 9.<\/p>\n
C\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia c\u1ee7a ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng Barclays c\u0169ng d\u1ef1 b\u00e1o FED s\u1ebd h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng 7 v\u00e0 th\u00e1ng 9, nh\u01b0ng cho r\u1eb1ng \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m th\u00e1ng 7 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m l\u00e0 n\u1eeda \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m, c\u00f2n \u0111\u1ee3t gi\u1ea3m th\u00e1ng 9 s\u1ebd c\u00f3 m\u1ee9c gi\u1ea3m 0,25 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m.<\/p>\n
“H\u1ecd s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m 0,5 \u0111i\u1ec3m ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t trong th\u00e1ng 7 \u0111\u1ec3 g\u00e2y ng\u1ea1c nhi\u00ean cho th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng”, m\u1ed9t b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Barclays nh\u1eadn \u0111\u1ecbnh. “V\u1edbi d\u01b0 \u0111\u1ecba h\u1ea1n ch\u1ebf, h\u1ecd mu\u1ed1n h\u00e0nh \u0111\u1ed9ng quy\u1ebft li\u1ec7t ngay \u0111\u1ec3 \u0111\u1ea1t hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3 l\u1edbn”.<\/p>\n
L\u00e3i su\u1ea5t tham chi\u1ebfu c\u1ee7a FED hi\u1ec7n \u0111ang \u1edf kho\u1ea3ng 2,25-2,5%, m\u1edbi b\u1eb1ng kho\u1ea3ng m\u1ed9t n\u1eeda so v\u1edbi m\u1ee9c 500 \u0111i\u1ec3m c\u01a1 b\u1ea3n b\u1ecb c\u1eaft gi\u1ea3m trong th\u1eddi gian k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o suy tho\u00e1i.<\/p>\n
Tuy nhi\u00ean, m\u1ed9t \u0111\u1ed9ng th\u00e1i gi\u1ea3m l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t qu\u00e1 m\u1ea1nh c\u1ee7a FED c\u0169ng c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 khi\u1ebfn gi\u1edbi \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 ho\u1ea3ng s\u1ee3 v\u00ec cho r\u1eb1ng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111ang t\u1ec7 h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u so v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng g\u00ec h\u1ecd ngh\u0129.<\/p>\n
FED kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ed1i m\u1eb7t v\u1edbi s\u1ee9c \u00e9p l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t khi h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, b\u1edfi \u00e1p l\u1ef1c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t \u1edf M\u1ef9 \u0111ang th\u1ea5p. Th\u1eadm ch\u00ed, Ph\u00f3 ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch FED Richar Clarida h\u1ed3i th\u00e1ng 5 c\u00f2n n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng m\u1ee9c l\u1ea1m ph\u00e1t th\u1ea5p, d\u01b0\u1edbi m\u1ee5c ti\u00eau 2%, c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 l\u00e0 l\u00fd do \u0111\u1ec3 n\u1edbi l\u1ecfng ch\u00ednh s\u00e1ch ti\u1ec1n t\u1ec7.<\/p>\n
M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 v\u1eady, vi\u1ec7c FED h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 d\u1eabn t\u1edbi s\u1ef1 ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng trung \u01b0\u01a1ng n\u00e0y l\u00f9i b\u01b0\u1edbc tr\u01b0\u1edbc s\u1ee9c \u00e9p ch\u00ednh tr\u1ecb v\u00e0 mu\u1ed1n gi\u00e1n ti\u1ebfp gi\u00fap \u00f4ng Trump t\u00e1i \u0111\u1eafc c\u1eed v\u00e0o n\u0103m 2020.<\/p>\n
T\u1eeb khi l\u00ean c\u1ea7m quy\u1ec1n, \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 kh\u00f4ng \u00edt l\u1ea7n ch\u1ec9 tr\u00edch FED, n\u00f3i r\u1eb1ng vi\u1ec7c FED n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t g\u00e2y b\u1ea5t l\u1ee3i cho t\u0103ng tr\u01b0\u1edfng kinh t\u1ebf M\u1ef9 c\u0169ng nh\u01b0 v\u1ecb th\u1ebf c\u1ee7a n\u01b0\u1edbc n\u00e0y trong cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i v\u1edbi Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n
H\u1ed3i gi\u1eefa th\u00e1ng 4, \u00f4ng Trump vi\u1ebft tr\u00ean Twitter r\u1eb1ng th\u1ecb tr\u01b0\u1eddng ch\u1ee9ng kho\u00e1n M\u1ef9 l\u1ebd ra t\u0103ng cao h\u01a1n nhi\u1ec1u n\u1ebfu FED kh\u00f4ng n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t. Trong n\u0103m 2018, FED n\u00e2ng l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t 4 l\u1ea7n.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n
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Trong v\u1ea5n \u0111\u1ec1 h\u1ea1 l\u00e3i su\u1ea5t, Ch\u1ee7 t\u1ecbch C\u1ee5c D\u1ef1 tr\u1eef Li\u00ean bang M\u1ef9 (FED) v\u00e0 c\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed3ng nghi\u1ec7p c\u1ee7a \u00f4ng \u0111ang \u0111\u1ee9ng tr\u01b0\u1edbc ba c\u00e2u h\u1ecfi: C\u00f3 h\u1ea1 kh\u00f4ng? N\u1ebfu c\u00f3 th\u00ec h\u1ea1 v\u00e0o l\u00fac n\u00e0o, v\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau? Theo h\u00e3ng tin Bloomberg, gi\u1edbi ph\u00e2n t\u00edch cho r\u1eb1ng d\u1eef li\u1ec7u x\u1ea5u h\u01a1n […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":1546,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1545","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ban-tin-tai-chinh"],"yoast_head":"\n
Khi n\u00e0o v\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau? - Favorite News<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/khi-nao-va-bao-nhieu\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"vi_VN\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Khi n\u00e0o v\u00e0 bao nhi\u00eau? - Favorite News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"[ad_1]
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