{"id":1329,"date":"2019-06-04T14:22:14","date_gmt":"2019-06-04T11:22:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\/"},"modified":"2019-06-04T14:22:16","modified_gmt":"2019-06-04T11:22:16","slug":"day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\/","title":{"rendered":"\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9"},"content":{"rendered":"

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<\/p>\n

H\u01a1n 1 n\u0103m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh n\u1ed5 ra, thu\u1ebf quan tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1eeb ph\u00eda b\u00ean kia. Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a hai b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 chuy\u1ec3n sang t\u00ecm ki\u1ebfm nh\u1eefng \u0111\u1ecba \u0111i\u1ec3m thay th\u1ebf, t\u1ea1o ra hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ec7ch h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i (trade diversion).<\/p>\n

Ch\u1ec7ch h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng m\u00e0 m\u1ed9t qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ebd kh\u00f4ng nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a t\u1eeb n\u01a1i c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 r\u1ebb h\u01a1n m\u00e0 thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 ch\u1ecdn n\u01a1i c\u00f3 gi\u00e1 \u0111\u1eaft h\u01a1n do ch\u1ecbu \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a thu\u1ebf quan.<\/p>\n

Theo c\u00e1c chuy\u00ean gia kinh t\u1ebf t\u1eeb ng\u00e2n h\u00e0ng \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 Nh\u1eadt B\u1ea3n Nomura, Vi\u1ec7t Nam \u0111ang n\u1ed5i l\u00ean l\u00e0 qu\u1ed1c gia \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng n\u00e0y.<\/p>\n

“C\u00e1c \u0111\u1ee3t t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a l\u1eabn nhau gi\u1eefa hai n\u01b0\u1edbc t\u0103ng l\u00ean th\u00ec chi ph\u00ed nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u0169ng t\u0103ng l\u00ean. M\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00f4ng ty xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u1edf c\u1ea3 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 s\u1eb5n s\u00e0ng ch\u1ecbu \u0111\u1ef1ng nh\u1eefng chi ph\u00ed ph\u00e1t sinh th\u00eam t\u1eeb thu\u1ebf quan, v\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 t\u1eadp \u0111o\u00e0n \u0111a qu\u1ed1c gia s\u1ebd chuy\u1ec3n nh\u00e0 m\u00e1y sang n\u01a1i kh\u00e1c kh\u00f4ng b\u1ecb \u0111\u00e1nh thu\u1ebf, nh\u01b0ng v\u1ec1 d\u00e0i h\u1ea1n th\u00ec h\u1eadu qu\u1ea3 l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t s\u1ebd l\u00e0 hi\u1ec7n t\u01b0\u1ee3ng ch\u1ec7ch h\u01b0\u1edbng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i”, b\u00e1o c\u00e1o c\u1ee7a Nomura vi\u1ebft.<\/p>\n

T\u00ednh t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn b\u1eaft \u0111\u1ea7u, M\u1ef9 \u0111\u00e3 \u00e1p thu\u1ebf 25% l\u00ean t\u1ed5ng c\u1ed9ng 250 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c, th\u1eadm ch\u00ed m\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y \u00f4ng Trump \u0111\u00e3 \u0111e d\u1ecda s\u1ebd \u00e1p m\u1ee9c thu\u1ebf t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 l\u00ean th\u00eam 300 t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a n\u1eefa. \u0110\u00e1p l\u1ea1i, B\u1eafc Kinh c\u0169ng t\u0103ng thu\u1ebf \u00e1p l\u00ean h\u00e0ng t\u1ef7 USD h\u00e0ng M\u1ef9.<\/p>\n

Theo Nomura, Vi\u1ec7t Nam v\u00e0 \u0110\u00e0i Loan \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb s\u1ef1 thay \u0111\u1ed5i trong c\u00e1ch mua h\u00e0ng c\u1ee7a ng\u01b0\u1eddi M\u1ef9, trong khi \u0111\u00f3 Chile, Malaysia v\u00e0 Argentina b\u00e1n \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a h\u01a1n cho Trung Qu\u1ed1c.<\/p>\n

Thu\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a Trung Qu\u1ed1c khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c doanh nghi\u1ec7p M\u1ef9 ph\u1ea3i l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn ngu\u1ed3n thay th\u1ebf cho nhi\u1ec1u s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m nh\u01b0 linh ki\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i, linh ki\u1ec7n m\u00e1y m\u00f3c v\u0103n ph\u00f2ng, c\u00e1c thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb x\u1eed l\u00fd d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng, \u0111\u1ed3 n\u1ed9i th\u1ea5t v\u00e0 \u0111\u1ed3 du l\u1ecbch.<\/p>\n

Ng\u01b0\u1ee3c l\u1ea1i, thu\u1ebf \u0111\u00e1nh v\u00e0o h\u00e0ng h\u00f3a M\u1ef9 khi\u1ebfn c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u Trung Qu\u1ed1c ph\u1ea3i mua \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng, m\u00e1y bay, ng\u0169 c\u1ed1c v\u00e0 c\u00e1c s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m b\u00f4ng t\u1eeb c\u00e1c n\u01b0\u1edbc kh\u00e1c.<\/p>\n

D\u01b0\u1edbi \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 s\u1ea3n ph\u1ea9m m\u00e0 Nomura cho l\u00e0 5 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i nhi\u1ec1u nh\u1ea5t \u0111\u00e3 xu\u1ea5t kh\u1ea9u \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u h\u01a1n do chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i:<\/p>\n

Vi\u1ec7t Nam: linh ki\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i, \u0111\u1ed3 n\u1ed9i th\u1ea5t, m\u00e1y x\u1eed l\u00fd d\u1eef li\u1ec7u t\u1ef1 \u0111\u1ed9ng<\/p>\n

\u0110\u00e0i Loan: linh ki\u1ec7n \u0111i\u1ec7n tho\u1ea1i, linh ki\u1ec7n m\u00e1y m\u00f3c v\u0103n ph\u00f2ng<\/p>\n

Chile: qu\u1eb7ng \u0111\u1ed3ng, \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng<\/p>\n

Malaysia: m\u1ea1ch t\u00edch h\u1ee3p, thi\u1ebft b\u1ecb chip b\u00e1n d\u1eabn<\/p>\n

Argentina: \u0111\u1eadu t\u01b0\u01a1ng<\/p>\n

M\u1eb7c d\u00f9 ch\u1ec9 ra m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i, Nomura c\u0169ng c\u1ea3nh b\u00e1o c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng v\u00e0 nh\u00ecn r\u1ed9ng ra th\u00ec ph\u1ea7n l\u1edbn trong s\u1ed1 c\u00e1c n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf th\u1ee9 ba ch\u1ecbu t\u00e1c \u0111\u1ed9ng t\u1eeb chi\u1ebfn tranh th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i s\u1ebd b\u1ecb \u1ea3nh h\u01b0\u1edfng ti\u00eau c\u1ef1c v\u00ec c\u00e1c c\u00f4ng ty ho\u00e3n l\u1ea1i k\u1ebf ho\u1ea1ch \u0111\u1ea7u t\u01b0 do m\u00f4i tr\u01b0\u1eddng kinh doanh b\u1ea5t \u1ed5n. Th\u00eam v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ee9c ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng \u1edf c\u1ea3 M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c s\u1ebd gi\u1ea3m xu\u1ed1ng v\u00ec c\u1ea3 doanh nghi\u1ec7p v\u00e0 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ti\u00eau d\u00f9ng hai b\u00ean \u0111\u1ec1u ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ecbu chi ph\u00ed t\u0103ng cao do thu\u1ebf quan.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n

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[ad_1] H\u01a1n 1 n\u0103m k\u1ec3 t\u1eeb khi cu\u1ed9c chi\u1ebfn th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i gi\u1eefa Washington v\u00e0 B\u1eafc Kinh n\u1ed5 ra, thu\u1ebf quan tr\u1ea3 \u0111\u0169a gi\u1eefa hai b\u00ean \u0111\u00e3 khi\u1ebfn M\u1ef9 v\u00e0 Trung Qu\u1ed1c gi\u1ea3m nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 m\u1eb7t h\u00e0ng quan tr\u1ecdng t\u1eeb ph\u00eda b\u00ean kia. 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Thay v\u00e0o \u0111\u00f3, c\u00e1c nh\u00e0 nh\u1eadp kh\u1ea9u c\u1ee7a hai b\u00ean […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"Favorite News\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2019-06-04T11:22:14+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-06-04T11:22:16+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/favorite-news.com\/vi\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/5\/2019\/06\/\u0110\u00e2y-l\u00e0-nh\u1eefng-n\u1ec1n-kinh-t\u1ebf-h\u01b0\u1edfng-l\u1ee3i-l\u1edbn-nh\u1ea5t.jpeg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"600\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"315\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"favorite-news\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"\u0110\u01b0\u1ee3c vi\u1ebft b\u1edfi\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"favorite-news\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"\u01af\u1edbc t\u00ednh th\u1eddi gian \u0111\u1ecdc\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 ph\u00fat\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"favorite-news\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/b91573b717dcfa5e4696032a9d28d3e8\"},\"headline\":\"\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9\",\"datePublished\":\"2019-06-04T11:22:14+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-06-04T11:22:16+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":911,\"commentCount\":0,\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/sites\\\/5\\\/2019\\\/06\\\/\u0110\u00e2y-l\u00e0-nh\u1eefng-n\u1ec1n-kinh-t\u1ebf-h\u01b0\u1edfng-l\u1ee3i-l\u1edbn-nh\u1ea5t.jpeg\",\"articleSection\":[\"B\u1ea2N TIN T\u00c0I CH\u00cdNH\"],\"inLanguage\":\"vi\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"CommentAction\",\"name\":\"Comment\",\"target\":[\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\\\/#respond\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/favorite-news.com\\\/vi\\\/day-la-nhung-nen-kinh-te-huong-loi-lon-nhat-tu-cang-thang-thuong-mai-my\\\/\",\"name\":\"\u0110\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng n\u1ec1n kinh t\u1ebf h\u01b0\u1edfng l\u1ee3i l\u1edbn nh\u1ea5t t\u1eeb c\u0103ng th\u1eb3ng th\u01b0\u01a1ng m\u1ea1i M\u1ef9 - 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